Traders assign a 98% implied probability against Hunter Biden announcing a Delaware Senate candidacy by July 14 because no filings, exploratory committee, public statements, or outreach to state Democratic officials have occurred. Incumbent Chris Coons has already filed for the 2026 Democratic primary, and official candidate lists show no involvement from Biden. Hunter Biden maintains a low public profile focused on personal matters and prior legal proceedings, with no recent political activity or endorsements signaling interest in the race. Delaware’s filing deadlines and primary timeline allow late entries, yet the absence of any visible groundwork keeps the outcome heavily weighted toward no announcement. A surprise declaration remains possible but would require rapid organization without prior indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
$22,027 KL.
$22,027 KL.
Jul 14, 2026
$22,027 KL.
$22,027 KL.
Jul 14, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 98% implied probability against Hunter Biden announcing a Delaware Senate candidacy by July 14 because no filings, exploratory committee, public statements, or outreach to state Democratic officials have occurred. Incumbent Chris Coons has already filed for the 2026 Democratic primary, and official candidate lists show no involvement from Biden. Hunter Biden maintains a low public profile focused on personal matters and prior legal proceedings, with no recent political activity or endorsements signaling interest in the race. Delaware’s filing deadlines and primary timeline allow late entries, yet the absence of any visible groundwork keeps the outcome heavily weighted toward no announcement. A surprise declaration remains possible but would require rapid organization without prior indicators.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Khối lượng
$22,027Ngày kết thúc
Jul 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 98% implied probability against Hunter Biden announcing a Delaware Senate candidacy by July 14 because no filings, exploratory committee, public statements, or outreach to state Democratic officials have occurred. Incumbent Chris Coons has already filed for the 2026 Democratic primary, and official candidate lists show no involvement from Biden. Hunter Biden maintains a low public profile focused on personal matters and prior legal proceedings, with no recent political activity or endorsements signaling interest in the race. Delaware’s filing deadlines and primary timeline allow late entries, yet the absence of any visible groundwork keeps the outcome heavily weighted toward no announcement. A surprise declaration remains possible but would require rapid organization without prior indicators.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$22,027Ngày kết thúc
Jul 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98% implied probability against Hunter Biden announcing a Delaware Senate candidacy by July 14 because no filings, exploratory committee, public statements, or outreach to state Democratic officials have occurred. Incumbent Chris Coons has already filed for the 2026 Democratic primary, and official candidate lists show no involvement from Biden. Hunter Biden maintains a low public profile focused on personal matters and prior legal proceedings, with no recent political activity or endorsements signaling interest in the race. Delaware’s filing deadlines and primary timeline allow late entries, yet the absence of any visible groundwork keeps the outcome heavily weighted toward no announcement. A surprise declaration remains possible but would require rapid organization without prior indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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