Recent pledges, including the UK’s £400 million loan and commitments from Brazil, Indonesia, Germany, and France, have lifted TFFF sponsor capital to roughly $7.3 billion, yet the market remains balanced at 50% because an additional $2.7 billion in sovereign or philanthropic commitments is still required by December 31, 2026, to unlock Norway’s conditional $3 billion pledge. Key uncertainties center on the pace of negotiations with European, Asian, and American governments amid geopolitical tensions, refinements to the blended-finance structure that uses junior capital to attract private bond investors, and official verification of new pledges through satellite-based deforestation monitoring. Fresh data releases or announcements around COP31 in November could shift odds decisively, as could any delays in finalizing governance or investment terms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật50% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 15, 2027
50% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 15, 2027
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.Recent pledges, including the UK’s £400 million loan and commitments from Brazil, Indonesia, Germany, and France, have lifted TFFF sponsor capital to roughly $7.3 billion, yet the market remains balanced at 50% because an additional $2.7 billion in sovereign or philanthropic commitments is still required by December 31, 2026, to unlock Norway’s conditional $3 billion pledge. Key uncertainties center on the pace of negotiations with European, Asian, and American governments amid geopolitical tensions, refinements to the blended-finance structure that uses junior capital to attract private bond investors, and official verification of new pledges through satellite-based deforestation monitoring. Fresh data releases or announcements around COP31 in November could shift odds decisively, as could any delays in finalizing governance or investment terms.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Jan 16, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 5:26 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://tfffwatch.org/investment-trackerNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.Recent pledges, including the UK’s £400 million loan and commitments from Brazil, Indonesia, Germany, and France, have lifted TFFF sponsor capital to roughly $7.3 billion, yet the market remains balanced at 50% because an additional $2.7 billion in sovereign or philanthropic commitments is still required by December 31, 2026, to unlock Norway’s conditional $3 billion pledge. Key uncertainties center on the pace of negotiations with European, Asian, and American governments amid geopolitical tensions, refinements to the blended-finance structure that uses junior capital to attract private bond investors, and official verification of new pledges through satellite-based deforestation monitoring. Fresh data releases or announcements around COP31 in November could shift odds decisively, as could any delays in finalizing governance or investment terms.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Jan 16, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 5:26 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://tfffwatch.org/investment-trackerNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent pledges, including the UK’s £400 million loan and commitments from Brazil, Indonesia, Germany, and France, have lifted TFFF sponsor capital to roughly $7.3 billion, yet the market remains balanced at 50% because an additional $2.7 billion in sovereign or philanthropic commitments is still required by December 31, 2026, to unlock Norway’s conditional $3 billion pledge. Key uncertainties center on the pace of negotiations with European, Asian, and American governments amid geopolitical tensions, refinements to the blended-finance structure that uses junior capital to attract private bond investors, and official verification of new pledges through satellite-based deforestation monitoring. Fresh data releases or announcements around COP31 in November could shift odds decisively, as could any delays in finalizing governance or investment terms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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