Manchester United's inability to secure five consecutive competitive wins throughout the 2025-26 Premier League campaign has locked in trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability that Frank Ilett, known as The United Strand, will not get a haircut by season's end. The fan's viral pledge, tied directly to that streak since his last trim in October 2024, has survived repeated near-misses, including four-game runs halted by draws at West Ham and Sunderland. With just two fixtures remaining and no realistic path to the required streak before the May 24 resolution deadline, the market reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing official team results and fixture congestion. Even strong recent form or home/away splits cannot overcome the calendar, though an improbable late surge or postponed matches could theoretically shift the outcome before final whistle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
$175,114 KL.
$175,114 KL.
$175,114 KL.
$175,114 KL.
For the purpose of this market, a draw or loss resets the consecutive win counter. Unbeaten streaks are not included. The haircut must occur after the fifth consecutive win has been completed.
A “haircut” refers to a clearly visible and noticeable shortening to his hair, small adjustments of an inch or two will not qualify unless they are a clear result of a haircut.
Taking a little snip or minor trim on stream (or in a video) also does not count. It must be a real, substantial haircut that noticeably changes his appearance from the long hair style he's maintained.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a draw or loss resets the consecutive win counter. Unbeaten streaks are not included. The haircut must occur after the fifth consecutive win has been completed.
A “haircut” refers to a clearly visible and noticeable shortening to his hair, small adjustments of an inch or two will not qualify unless they are a clear result of a haircut.
Taking a little snip or minor trim on stream (or in a video) also does not count. It must be a real, substantial haircut that noticeably changes his appearance from the long hair style he's maintained.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Manchester United's inability to secure five consecutive competitive wins throughout the 2025-26 Premier League campaign has locked in trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability that Frank Ilett, known as The United Strand, will not get a haircut by season's end. The fan's viral pledge, tied directly to that streak since his last trim in October 2024, has survived repeated near-misses, including four-game runs halted by draws at West Ham and Sunderland. With just two fixtures remaining and no realistic path to the required streak before the May 24 resolution deadline, the market reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing official team results and fixture congestion. Even strong recent form or home/away splits cannot overcome the calendar, though an improbable late surge or postponed matches could theoretically shift the outcome before final whistle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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