Recent supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins across several OPEC nations, have driven sharp draws on global and U.S. crude inventories. The EIA reported a 4.3 million barrel decline in commercial U.S. crude stocks to 452.9 million barrels for the week ended May 8, exceeding analyst expectations and reflecting elevated exports alongside steady refinery demand. The IEA noted accelerated OECD stock reductions through April, with further draws projected into early June absent supply recovery. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA releases and any diplomatic signals on Hormuz reopening, expected by late May under current assumptions, which could moderate draw rates before the June 5 resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$62,304 KL.
375M
97%
350M
28%
325M
2%
300M
3%
275M
3%
$62,304 KL.
375M
97%
350M
28%
325M
2%
300M
3%
275M
3%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before June 5 2026, by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 10, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before June 5 2026, by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins across several OPEC nations, have driven sharp draws on global and U.S. crude inventories. The EIA reported a 4.3 million barrel decline in commercial U.S. crude stocks to 452.9 million barrels for the week ended May 8, exceeding analyst expectations and reflecting elevated exports alongside steady refinery demand. The IEA noted accelerated OECD stock reductions through April, with further draws projected into early June absent supply recovery. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA releases and any diplomatic signals on Hormuz reopening, expected by late May under current assumptions, which could moderate draw rates before the June 5 resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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