David Crowley defeated Francesca Hong by a narrow margin of roughly 3,200 votes (under 0.5 percentage points) in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, meeting the state’s threshold for a candidate-requested recount. Hong conceded shortly after final tallies, removing any basis for such a request under Wisconsin Statutes § 9.01, which requires action by the losing campaign within a short window after canvass certification. The Wisconsin Elections Commission has no automatic recount process and has shown no independent grounds to intervene. With the filing deadline approaching and no active challenges reported, traders assign 98.5% probability to “No.” The only plausible shifts would require an unexpected reversal of Hong’s concession, discovery of widespread irregularities prompting legal action by another candidate or officials, or a court order—developments that remain absent six days after the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2% khả năng
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Aug 31, 2026
2% khả năng
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Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.David Crowley defeated Francesca Hong by a narrow margin of roughly 3,200 votes (under 0.5 percentage points) in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, meeting the state’s threshold for a candidate-requested recount. Hong conceded shortly after final tallies, removing any basis for such a request under Wisconsin Statutes § 9.01, which requires action by the losing campaign within a short window after canvass certification. The Wisconsin Elections Commission has no automatic recount process and has shown no independent grounds to intervene. With the filing deadline approaching and no active challenges reported, traders assign 98.5% probability to “No.” The only plausible shifts would require an unexpected reversal of Hong’s concession, discovery of widespread irregularities prompting legal action by another candidate or officials, or a court order—developments that remain absent six days after the primary.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,290Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.David Crowley defeated Francesca Hong by a narrow margin of roughly 3,200 votes (under 0.5 percentage points) in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, meeting the state’s threshold for a candidate-requested recount. Hong conceded shortly after final tallies, removing any basis for such a request under Wisconsin Statutes § 9.01, which requires action by the losing campaign within a short window after canvass certification. The Wisconsin Elections Commission has no automatic recount process and has shown no independent grounds to intervene. With the filing deadline approaching and no active challenges reported, traders assign 98.5% probability to “No.” The only plausible shifts would require an unexpected reversal of Hong’s concession, discovery of widespread irregularities prompting legal action by another candidate or officials, or a court order—developments that remain absent six days after the primary.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$2,290Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...David Crowley defeated Francesca Hong by a narrow margin of roughly 3,200 votes (under 0.5 percentage points) in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, meeting the state’s threshold for a candidate-requested recount. Hong conceded shortly after final tallies, removing any basis for such a request under Wisconsin Statutes § 9.01, which requires action by the losing campaign within a short window after canvass certification. The Wisconsin Elections Commission has no automatic recount process and has shown no independent grounds to intervene. With the filing deadline approaching and no active challenges reported, traders assign 98.5% probability to “No.” The only plausible shifts would require an unexpected reversal of Hong’s concession, discovery of widespread irregularities prompting legal action by another candidate or officials, or a court order—developments that remain absent six days after the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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