Mexico enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as Group A favorites thanks to co-host status, home matches at Estadio Azteca, and superior squad depth featuring players like Raúl Jiménez. This underpins the 55.5% implied probability reflected in current pricing. South Korea follows at 21.5%, buoyed by experienced talents including Son Heung-min and Kim Min-jae plus an unbeaten qualification campaign, giving them a realistic shot at topping or placing second. Czechia sits at 18.5% as a capable UEFA side with solid organization, while South Africa trails at 6.3% given its lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success. The group opens June 11 with Mexico facing South Africa and South Korea meeting Czechia, setting up a tight race for the top two spots that advance.