The United States' 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay has reinforced their status as Group D frontrunners in the 2026 World Cup, with home-soil advantage and a deeper squad supporting the 62.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping the group. Türkiye sits second in market pricing at 32.5% on the strength of its UEFA playoff qualification, technical depth, and FIFA ranking near 22nd, though it has yet to play in the group. Australia and Paraguay trail sharply at 4.8% and 1.8% respectively, reflecting lower FIFA rankings, tougher paths through CONMEBOL and AFC qualifying, and the need for upsets in remaining fixtures against the top two sides. Upcoming matches between the United States and Australia plus the direct clash with Türkiye will likely determine final positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUSA 63%
Türkiye 33%
Australia 4.8%
Paraguay 1.4%
$735,582 KL.
$735,582 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
63%
Türkiye
33%
Australia
5%
Paraguay
1%
USA 63%
Türkiye 33%
Australia 4.8%
Paraguay 1.4%
$735,582 KL.
$735,582 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
$234,859 KL.
63%
Türkiye
$263,953 KL.
33%
Australia
$76,722 KL.
5%
Paraguay
$178,732 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The United States' 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay has reinforced their status as Group D frontrunners in the 2026 World Cup, with home-soil advantage and a deeper squad supporting the 62.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping the group. Türkiye sits second in market pricing at 32.5% on the strength of its UEFA playoff qualification, technical depth, and FIFA ranking near 22nd, though it has yet to play in the group. Australia and Paraguay trail sharply at 4.8% and 1.8% respectively, reflecting lower FIFA rankings, tougher paths through CONMEBOL and AFC qualifying, and the need for upsets in remaining fixtures against the top two sides. Upcoming matches between the United States and Australia plus the direct clash with Türkiye will likely determine final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$735,582Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The United States' 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay has reinforced their status as Group D frontrunners in the 2026 World Cup, with home-soil advantage and a deeper squad supporting the 62.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping the group. Türkiye sits second in market pricing at 32.5% on the strength of its UEFA playoff qualification, technical depth, and FIFA ranking near 22nd, though it has yet to play in the group. Australia and Paraguay trail sharply at 4.8% and 1.8% respectively, reflecting lower FIFA rankings, tougher paths through CONMEBOL and AFC qualifying, and the need for upsets in remaining fixtures against the top two sides. Upcoming matches between the United States and Australia plus the direct clash with Türkiye will likely determine final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$735,582Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The United States' 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay has reinforced their status as Group D frontrunners in the 2026 World Cup, with home-soil advantage and a deeper squad supporting the 62.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping the group. Türkiye sits second in market pricing at 32.5% on the strength of its UEFA playoff qualification, technical depth, and FIFA ranking near 22nd, though it has yet to play in the group. Australia and Paraguay trail sharply at 4.8% and 1.8% respectively, reflecting lower FIFA rankings, tougher paths through CONMEBOL and AFC qualifying, and the need for upsets in remaining fixtures against the top two sides. Upcoming matches between the United States and Australia plus the direct clash with Türkiye will likely determine final positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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