Spain, France, England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities because each fields elite squads with exceptional depth and recent major-tournament pedigree heading into the expanded 48-team 2026 finals. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and consistent Nations League results underpin its narrow lead, while France’s generational talent pool and unbeaten recent qualifiers keep it within a point. Argentina’s status as defending champions and top FIFA ranking, combined with England’s and Portugal’s strong form and bracket positioning, prevent any single side from pulling away. Germany and the Netherlands add further pressure through depth, ensuring the market reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favorite.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTây Ban Nha 17.0%
Pháp 16.1%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.9%
Anh 10.8%
$1,947,729,590 KL.
$1,947,729,590 KL.
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Pháp
16%
Bồ Đào Nha
11%
Anh
11%
Argentina
9%
Brazil
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
4%
Na Uy
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Mexico
1%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Hoa Kỳ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Tây Ban Nha 17.0%
Pháp 16.1%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.9%
Anh 10.8%
$1,947,729,590 KL.
$1,947,729,590 KL.
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Pháp
16%
Bồ Đào Nha
11%
Anh
11%
Argentina
9%
Brazil
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
4%
Na Uy
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Mexico
1%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Hoa Kỳ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, France, England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities because each fields elite squads with exceptional depth and recent major-tournament pedigree heading into the expanded 48-team 2026 finals. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and consistent Nations League results underpin its narrow lead, while France’s generational talent pool and unbeaten recent qualifiers keep it within a point. Argentina’s status as defending champions and top FIFA ranking, combined with England’s and Portugal’s strong form and bracket positioning, prevent any single side from pulling away. Germany and the Netherlands add further pressure through depth, ensuring the market reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favorite.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp