Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTây Ban Nha 17.0%
Pháp 16.1%
Anh 10.8%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.8%
$1,958,866,297 KL.
$1,958,866,297 KL.
Jul 20, 2026
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Pháp
16%
Anh
11%
Bồ Đào Nha
11%
Argentina
9%
Brazil
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
4%
Na Uy
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Mexico
1%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Hoa Kỳ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Tây Ban Nha 17.0%
Pháp 16.1%
Anh 10.8%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.8%
$1,958,866,297 KL.
$1,958,866,297 KL.
Jul 20, 2026
Tây Ban Nha
$37,480,629 KL.
17%
Pháp
$44,026,600 KL.
16%
Anh
$32,464,322 KL.
11%
Bồ Đào Nha
$39,384,475 KL.
11%
Argentina
$34,858,386 KL.
9%
Brazil
$34,011,733 KL.
8%
Đức
$36,206,197 KL.
5%
Hà Lan
$38,483,025 KL.
4%
Na Uy
$37,314,087 KL.
2%
Bỉ
$40,222,266 KL.
2%
Colombia
$40,365,689 KL.
2%
Nhật Bản
$40,769,447 KL.
2%
Ma-rốc
$44,061,626 KL.
2%
Mexico
$44,176,628 KL.
1%
Thụy Sĩ
$39,043,927 KL.
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
$36,811,969 KL.
1%
Hoa Kỳ
$56,510,808 KL.
1%
Uruguay
$39,510,494 KL.
1%
Croatia
$45,151,644 KL.
1%
Ecuador
$45,038,578 KL.
1%
Senegal
$38,982,729 KL.
1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
$52,635,925 KL.
<1%
Austria
$43,206,039 KL.
<1%
Canada
$44,110,381 KL.
<1%
Sweden
$29,892,579 KL.
<1%
Hàn Quốc
$48,390,488 KL.
<1%
Scotland
$42,307,383 KL.
<1%
Egypt
$51,330,528 KL.
<1%
Iran
$44,626,368 KL.
<1%
Ghana
$36,992,928 KL.
<1%
Algeria
$44,759,946 KL.
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
$27,995,792 KL.
<1%
Paraguay
$42,097,017 KL.
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
$57,823,833 KL.
<1%
Czechia
$31,106,207 KL.
<1%
Australia
$46,208,197 KL.
<1%
New Zealand
$45,486,877 KL.
<1%
Haiti
$32,043,278 KL.
<1%
Jordan
$31,615,970 KL.
<1%
Curaçao
$41,680,839 KL.
<1%
Tunisia
$35,517,463 KL.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$59,663,014 KL.
<1%
Panama
$19,385,468 KL.
<1%
Iraq
$28,870,732 KL.
<1%
Nam Phi
$38,252,430 KL.
<1%
Cape Verde
$40,218,190 KL.
<1%
Qatar
$42,006,699 KL.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$47,650,068 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,958,866,297Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,958,866,297Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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