Spain leads the implied probabilities at 16.4 percent, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1 percent, with England and Portugal close behind, reflecting a tightly bunched group of European contenders. Recent international results, including Spain’s Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League and Olympic performances, have sustained La Roja’s edge, while France benefits from exceptional squad depth and repeated final appearances. England’s talent pool under new leadership and Portugal’s consistent output keep them within striking distance. Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree and Brazil’s CONMEBOL qualifying form add further balance. The expanded 48-team field and North American hosting create multiple viable paths, with no single side establishing clear separation entering the group stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTây Ban Nha 16.4%
Pháp 16.1%
Anh 10.8%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.5%
$1,937,052,178 KL.
$1,937,052,178 KL.
Tây Ban Nha
16%
Pháp
16%
Anh
11%
Bồ Đào Nha
11%
Argentina
9%
Brazil
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
4%
Na Uy
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Mexico
1%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Hoa Kỳ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Tây Ban Nha 16.4%
Pháp 16.1%
Anh 10.8%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.5%
$1,937,052,178 KL.
$1,937,052,178 KL.
Tây Ban Nha
16%
Pháp
16%
Anh
11%
Bồ Đào Nha
11%
Argentina
9%
Brazil
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
4%
Na Uy
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Mexico
1%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Hoa Kỳ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads the implied probabilities at 16.4 percent, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1 percent, with England and Portugal close behind, reflecting a tightly bunched group of European contenders. Recent international results, including Spain’s Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League and Olympic performances, have sustained La Roja’s edge, while France benefits from exceptional squad depth and repeated final appearances. England’s talent pool under new leadership and Portugal’s consistent output keep them within striking distance. Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree and Brazil’s CONMEBOL qualifying form add further balance. The expanded 48-team field and North American hosting create multiple viable paths, with no single side establishing clear separation entering the group stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp