Spain and France sit nearly level at the top of the World Cup winner market, reflecting the narrow gap in trader assessments of their squads heading into the expanded 2026 tournament. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong form with a youthful core have edged them slightly ahead in implied probability, while France’s exceptional depth across positions sustains their close positioning. England follows as the next European contender, benefiting from a solid qualification record and established Premier League talent. South American sides like Argentina and Brazil remain competitive due to individual star power and historical pedigree, though recent results have kept them behind the leading Europeans. This bunched pricing underscores the balanced field where multiple teams possess realistic paths to the final stages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTây Ban Nha 16.4%
Pháp 16.1%
Anh 10.8%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.4%
$1,936,050,141 KL.
$1,936,050,141 KL.
Tây Ban Nha
16%
Pháp
16%
Anh
11%
Bồ Đào Nha
10%
Argentina
9%
Brazil
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
4%
Na Uy
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Mexico
1%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Hoa Kỳ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Tây Ban Nha 16.4%
Pháp 16.1%
Anh 10.8%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.4%
$1,936,050,141 KL.
$1,936,050,141 KL.
Tây Ban Nha
16%
Pháp
16%
Anh
11%
Bồ Đào Nha
10%
Argentina
9%
Brazil
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
4%
Na Uy
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Mexico
1%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Hoa Kỳ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit nearly level at the top of the World Cup winner market, reflecting the narrow gap in trader assessments of their squads heading into the expanded 2026 tournament. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong form with a youthful core have edged them slightly ahead in implied probability, while France’s exceptional depth across positions sustains their close positioning. England follows as the next European contender, benefiting from a solid qualification record and established Premier League talent. South American sides like Argentina and Brazil remain competitive due to individual star power and historical pedigree, though recent results have kept them behind the leading Europeans. This bunched pricing underscores the balanced field where multiple teams possess realistic paths to the final stages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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