The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 37.5-42.5% for dozens of players reflect a deep, evenly matched top-50 FedEx Cup field heading into Bellerive Country Club for the August 18-23 BMW Championship. With the tournament starting soon after the FedEx St. Jude Championship, recent form from that event—where Scottie Scheffler posted the low total and Sam Burns climbed the leaderboard—keeps top names like Ludvig Åberg, Scheffler, and Tom Kim in the mix alongside hot-streak qualifiers such as Akshay Bhatia and Michael Brennan. Comparable world rankings, strong iron play suited to the layout, and absence of any dominant course-specific edge compress the market, producing a wide distribution of realistic paths to the 54-hole lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Scottie Scheffler 47%
Ludvig Aberg 42%
Tom Kim 42%
Akshay Bhatia 38%
Scottie Scheffler
47%
Ludvig Aberg
42%
Tom Kim
42%
Akshay Bhatia
38%
Michael Brennan
38%
Jacob Bridgeman
38%
Sam Burns
38%
Patrick Cantlay
38%
Bud Cauley
38%
Wyndham Clark
38%
Eric Cole
38%
Nicolas Echavarria
38%
Alex Fitzpatrick
38%
Matt Fitzpatrick
38%
Tommy Fleetwood
38%
Ryan Fox
38%
Ryan Gerard
38%
Chris Gotterup
38%
Russell Henley
38%
Nicolai Hojgaard
38%
Viktor Hovland
38%
Jake Knapp
38%
Min Woo Lee
38%
Robert MacIntyre
38%
Hideki Matsuyama
38%
Matt McCarty
38%
Rory McIlroy
38%
Maverick McNealy
38%
Keith Mitchell
38%
Collin Morikawa
38%
JT Poston
38%
Kristoffer Reitan
38%
Justin Rose
38%
Xander Schauffele
38%
Adam Scott
38%
Alex Smalley
38%
J.J. Spaun
38%
Sepp Straka
38%
Sahith Theegala
38%
Justin Thomas
38%
Michael Thorbjornsen
38%
Gary Woodland
38%
Cameron Young
38%
Rickie Fowler
37%
Alexander Noren
37%
Aaron Rai
37%
Ben Griffin
36%
Ryo Hisatsune
36%
Si Woo Kim
36%
Kurt Kitayama
36%
Scottie Scheffler 47%
Ludvig Aberg 42%
Tom Kim 42%
Akshay Bhatia 38%
Scottie Scheffler
47%
Ludvig Aberg
42%
Tom Kim
42%
Akshay Bhatia
38%
Michael Brennan
38%
Jacob Bridgeman
38%
Sam Burns
38%
Patrick Cantlay
38%
Bud Cauley
38%
Wyndham Clark
38%
Eric Cole
38%
Nicolas Echavarria
38%
Alex Fitzpatrick
38%
Matt Fitzpatrick
38%
Tommy Fleetwood
38%
Ryan Fox
38%
Ryan Gerard
38%
Chris Gotterup
38%
Russell Henley
38%
Nicolai Hojgaard
38%
Viktor Hovland
38%
Jake Knapp
38%
Min Woo Lee
38%
Robert MacIntyre
38%
Hideki Matsuyama
38%
Matt McCarty
38%
Rory McIlroy
38%
Maverick McNealy
38%
Keith Mitchell
38%
Collin Morikawa
38%
JT Poston
38%
Kristoffer Reitan
38%
Justin Rose
38%
Xander Schauffele
38%
Adam Scott
38%
Alex Smalley
38%
J.J. Spaun
38%
Sepp Straka
38%
Sahith Theegala
38%
Justin Thomas
38%
Michael Thorbjornsen
38%
Gary Woodland
38%
Cameron Young
38%
Rickie Fowler
37%
Alexander Noren
37%
Aaron Rai
37%
Ben Griffin
36%
Ryo Hisatsune
36%
Si Woo Kim
36%
Kurt Kitayama
36%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 37.5-42.5% for dozens of players reflect a deep, evenly matched top-50 FedEx Cup field heading into Bellerive Country Club for the August 18-23 BMW Championship. With the tournament starting soon after the FedEx St. Jude Championship, recent form from that event—where Scottie Scheffler posted the low total and Sam Burns climbed the leaderboard—keeps top names like Ludvig Åberg, Scheffler, and Tom Kim in the mix alongside hot-streak qualifiers such as Akshay Bhatia and Michael Brennan. Comparable world rankings, strong iron play suited to the layout, and absence of any dominant course-specific edge compress the market, producing a wide distribution of realistic paths to the 54-hole lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions