Kimi Antonelli’s recent surge has shifted trader consensus toward him as the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship favorite, with his third straight victory in Miami extending a 20-point lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell. The 19-year-old has secured pole and wins across the opening rounds under the new regulations, demonstrating strong race pace and consistency that has outpaced early-season expectations. Russell, who won the Australian Grand Prix and led preseason testing form, now trails despite a solid start, prompting market adjustments reflected in current implied probabilities. McLaren’s Lando Norris remains a factor after finishing second in Miami, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri sit further back amid competitive field dynamics. These early results underscore how Mercedes’ pace and Antonelli’s momentum are shaping sentiment in this long-season market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kimi Antonelli 38.1%
喬治·羅素 31%
蘭多·諾里斯 11.6%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘 6.2%
$150,054,922 交易量
$150,054,922 交易量
Kimi Antonelli
38%
喬治·羅素
31%
蘭多·諾里斯
12%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
6%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
5%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
5%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
2%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 38.1%
喬治·羅素 31%
蘭多·諾里斯 11.6%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘 6.2%
$150,054,922 交易量
$150,054,922 交易量
Kimi Antonelli
38%
喬治·羅素
31%
蘭多·諾里斯
12%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
6%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
5%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
5%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
2%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli’s recent surge has shifted trader consensus toward him as the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship favorite, with his third straight victory in Miami extending a 20-point lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell. The 19-year-old has secured pole and wins across the opening rounds under the new regulations, demonstrating strong race pace and consistency that has outpaced early-season expectations. Russell, who won the Australian Grand Prix and led preseason testing form, now trails despite a solid start, prompting market adjustments reflected in current implied probabilities. McLaren’s Lando Norris remains a factor after finishing second in Miami, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri sit further back amid competitive field dynamics. These early results underscore how Mercedes’ pace and Antonelli’s momentum are shaping sentiment in this long-season market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions