Kimi Antonelli's commanding early-season form has tightened the 2026 Formula 1 drivers' championship market, with the Mercedes rookie holding a 20-point lead after four grands prix following three consecutive victories. His intra-team battle with George Russell, who took the Australian opener, reflects Mercedes' superior car pace that both drivers are maximizing in the opening rounds. This performance edge has shifted implied probabilities toward Antonelli at the front of the field while keeping Russell close behind, as traders weigh the sophomore driver's consistency against the veteran teammate's experience. McLaren's Lando Norris and other contenders trail further back amid a compressed points battle that leaves room for momentum swings in upcoming races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kimi Antonelli 38.0%
喬治·羅素 31%
蘭多·諾里斯 11.3%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘 6.2%
$150,586,769 交易量
$150,586,769 交易量
Kimi Antonelli
38%
喬治·羅素
31%
蘭多·諾里斯
11%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
6%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
5%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
5%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
2%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 38.0%
喬治·羅素 31%
蘭多·諾里斯 11.3%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘 6.2%
$150,586,769 交易量
$150,586,769 交易量
Kimi Antonelli
38%
喬治·羅素
31%
蘭多·諾里斯
11%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
6%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
5%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
5%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
2%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli's commanding early-season form has tightened the 2026 Formula 1 drivers' championship market, with the Mercedes rookie holding a 20-point lead after four grands prix following three consecutive victories. His intra-team battle with George Russell, who took the Australian opener, reflects Mercedes' superior car pace that both drivers are maximizing in the opening rounds. This performance edge has shifted implied probabilities toward Antonelli at the front of the field while keeping Russell close behind, as traders weigh the sophomore driver's consistency against the veteran teammate's experience. McLaren's Lando Norris and other contenders trail further back amid a compressed points battle that leaves room for momentum swings in upcoming races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions