The tight clustering of implied probabilities around France, Spain, and England reflects the even distribution of elite squad depth, recent international form, and historical tournament resilience among top European and South American national teams as the expanded 48-team field approaches. France maintains its narrow edge thanks to proven knockout-stage experience and attacking options despite minor fitness concerns for key players, while Spain benefits from strong recent results and midfield control. Argentina's status as defending champions adds back-to-back title context, yet injuries to several Brazilian and German stars have tempered those markets without shifting the overall competitive balance. Trader consensus continues to price in the unpredictable nature of a month-long event with significant travel demands across North American venues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於法國 18.3%
西班牙 16.7%
英格蘭 11.3%
巴西 9.2%
$1,014,308,926 交易量
$1,014,308,926 交易量
法國
18%
西班牙
17%
英格蘭
11%
巴西
9%
阿根廷
8%
葡萄牙
8%
德國
5%
荷蘭
3%
挪威
2%
日本
2%
比利時
2%
哥倫比亞
2%
美國
2%
摩洛哥
2%
瑞士
1%
烏拉圭
1%
墨西哥
1%
克羅埃西亞
1%
厄瓜多
1%
塞內加爾
1%
土耳其
1%
奧地利
1%
瑞典
1%
加拿大
<1%
南韓
<1%
巴拉圭
<1%
蘇格蘭
<1%
象牙海岸
<1%
埃及
<1%
加納
<1%
阿爾及利亞
<1%
波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%
捷克
<1%
澳洲
<1%
紐西蘭
<1%
海地
<1%
約旦
<1%
庫拉索
<1%
伊朗
<1%
突尼西亞
<1%
烏茲別克
<1%
巴拿馬
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
南非
<1%
剛果民主共和國
<1%
佛得角
<1%
卡達
<1%
沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
法國 18.3%
西班牙 16.7%
英格蘭 11.3%
巴西 9.2%
$1,014,308,926 交易量
$1,014,308,926 交易量
法國
18%
西班牙
17%
英格蘭
11%
巴西
9%
阿根廷
8%
葡萄牙
8%
德國
5%
荷蘭
3%
挪威
2%
日本
2%
比利時
2%
哥倫比亞
2%
美國
2%
摩洛哥
2%
瑞士
1%
烏拉圭
1%
墨西哥
1%
克羅埃西亞
1%
厄瓜多
1%
塞內加爾
1%
土耳其
1%
奧地利
1%
瑞典
1%
加拿大
<1%
南韓
<1%
巴拉圭
<1%
蘇格蘭
<1%
象牙海岸
<1%
埃及
<1%
加納
<1%
阿爾及利亞
<1%
波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%
捷克
<1%
澳洲
<1%
紐西蘭
<1%
海地
<1%
約旦
<1%
庫拉索
<1%
伊朗
<1%
突尼西亞
<1%
烏茲別克
<1%
巴拿馬
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
南非
<1%
剛果民主共和國
<1%
佛得角
<1%
卡達
<1%
沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around France, Spain, and England reflects the even distribution of elite squad depth, recent international form, and historical tournament resilience among top European and South American national teams as the expanded 48-team field approaches. France maintains its narrow edge thanks to proven knockout-stage experience and attacking options despite minor fitness concerns for key players, while Spain benefits from strong recent results and midfield control. Argentina's status as defending champions adds back-to-back title context, yet injuries to several Brazilian and German stars have tempered those markets without shifting the overall competitive balance. Trader consensus continues to price in the unpredictable nature of a month-long event with significant travel demands across North American venues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions