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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 42%

Carlos Alcaraz 22%

Novak Djokovic 5.1%

Alexander Zverev 4.9%

Polymarket

$2,767,359 交易量

Jannik Sinner 42%

Carlos Alcaraz 22%

Novak Djokovic 5.1%

Alexander Zverev 4.9%

Polymarket

$2,767,359 交易量

Jannik Sinner

$11,473 交易量

42%

Carlos Alcaraz

$15,787 交易量

22%

Novak Djokovic

$180,910 交易量

5%

Alexander Zverev

$19,556 交易量

5%

Joao Fonseca

$98,728 交易量

3%

Taylor Fritz

$19,605 交易量

3%

Daniil Medvedev

$19,021 交易量

3%

Ben Shelton

$47,894 交易量

3%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$470,163 交易量

2%

Jakub Mensik

$80,783 交易量

2%

Jack Draper

$43,660 交易量

2%

Arthur Fils

$56,539 交易量

1%

Andrey Rublev

$120,226 交易量

1%

Holger Rune

$5,017 交易量

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$169,142 交易量

1%

Alexander Bublik

$24,735 交易量

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$276,179 交易量

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$10,550 交易量

1%

Frances Tiafoe

$8,643 交易量

1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$152,573 交易量

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$290,488 交易量

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$645,687 交易量

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,767,359
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,767,359
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 42%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $2.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.