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運動·ATP

2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）

icon for 2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）
運動·ATP

2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）

詹尼克·辛納 51%

卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 13%

亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 11.6%

諾瓦克·喬科維奇 6.0%

Polymarket

$6,691,605 交易量

詹尼克·辛納 51%

卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 13%

亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 11.6%

諾瓦克·喬科維奇 6.0%

Polymarket

$6,691,605 交易量

詹尼克·辛納

$239,739 交易量

51%

卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯

$330,853 交易量

13%

亞歷山大·茲韋列夫

$196,913 交易量

12%

諾瓦克·喬科維奇

$463,063 交易量

6%

班·謝爾頓

$238,737 交易量

5%

泰勒·弗里茨

$224,251 交易量

3%

丹尼爾·梅德韋傑夫

$211,300 交易量

2%

費利克斯·奧格-阿利亞西姆

$631,215 交易量

2%

雅庫布·梅恩希克

$262,713 交易量

1%

亞瑟·菲爾斯

$229,019 交易量

1%

若昂·丰塞卡

$254,409 交易量

1%

安德烈·盧布列夫

$267,325 交易量

1%

洛倫佐·穆塞蒂

$327,090 交易量

1%

亞歷山大·布布里克

$190,913 交易量

1%

法蘭西斯·蒂亞福

$180,772 交易量

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$437,211 交易量

<1%

弗拉維奧·科博利

$142,728 交易量

<1%

傑克·德雷珀

$256,962 交易量

<1%

馬泰奧·貝雷蒂尼

$414,059 交易量

<1%

胡貝爾特·胡爾卡奇

$274,018 交易量

<1%

格里戈爾·季米特洛夫

$763,540 交易量

<1%

霍爾格·魯內

$154,775 交易量

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner’s status as world No. 1 and recent Wimbledon title defense, where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final, underpin trader consensus around his 50.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open. The Italian has captured multiple Masters 1000 titles and maintained strong hard-court form earlier in the season, though knee and scheduling concerns led to withdrawals from the Canadian and Cincinnati Opens to prioritize recovery ahead of the August 30 start. Carlos Alcaraz, at 12.5%, benefits from his Australian Open victory and overall consistency but faces recent wrist issues, while Zverev’s French Open success and hard-court experience support his 11.6% position. Lower probabilities for Djokovic, Shelton, and others reflect the top-heavy field and typical variance in Grand Slam outcomes on outdoor hard courts.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,691,605
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner’s status as world No. 1 and recent Wimbledon title defense, where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final, underpin trader consensus around his 50.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open. The Italian has captured multiple Masters 1000 titles and maintained strong hard-court form earlier in the season, though knee and scheduling concerns led to withdrawals from the Canadian and Cincinnati Opens to prioritize recovery ahead of the August 30 start. Carlos Alcaraz, at 12.5%, benefits from his Australian Open victory and overall consistency but faces recent wrist issues, while Zverev’s French Open success and hard-court experience support his 11.6% position. Lower probabilities for Djokovic, Shelton, and others reflect the top-heavy field and typical variance in Grand Slam outcomes on outdoor hard courts.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,691,605
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "詹尼克·辛納" at 51%, followed by "卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）" has generated $6.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）" is "詹尼克·辛納" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.