Novorizontino’s two-point lead atop the Série B table after 37 rounds, paired with a +34 goal difference against Juventude’s +23, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty for the title. The Tigre do Vale’s league-leading attack, consistent recent form, and already-secured promotion have created an insurmountable cushion entering the final round against Criciúma. Juventude would require a victory plus an improbable combination of results and an 11-goal swing in goal difference to overtake them. Only an unprecedented collapse by Novorizontino combined with multiple external variables could still shift the outcome on the last matchday.