Trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched field for the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first pick, with multiple teams holding implied probabilities near 45-50% due to substantial uncertainty in projected 2026-27 regular-season records. League parity, summer roster adjustments, and variable young-core development keep many franchises within striking distance of the worst standings that determine lottery positioning. Stronger projected clubs such as the Milwaukee Bucks, Los Angeles Clippers, and Chicago Bulls sit at single-digit levels, consistent with expectations of competitive finishes, while the broad middle group remains vulnerable to slumps or tanking scenarios that could shift outcomes before the season concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oklahoma City Thunder 46%
Denver Nuggets 45%
Houston Rockets 45%
New Orleans Pelicans 45%
最新
最新
2027-05-18
Oklahoma City Thunder
46%
Denver Nuggets
45%
Houston Rockets
45%
New Orleans Pelicans
45%
Washington Wizards
45%
Golden State Warriors
45%
Indiana Pacers
45%
Portland Trail Blazers
45%
San Antonio Spurs
45%
Utah Jazz
45%
Atlanta Hawks
45%
Dallas Mavericks
45%
Los Angeles Lakers
45%
Minnesota Timberwolves
45%
Toronto Raptors
45%
Cleveland Cavaliers
44%
Sacramento Kings
44%
Charlotte Hornets
43%
Boston Celtics
42%
Detroit Pistons
37%
New York Knicks
37%
Miami Heat
36%
Philadelphia 76ers
25%
Orlando Magic
25%
Phoenix Suns
25%
Memphis Grizzlies
8%
Brooklyn Nets
7%
Los Angeles Clippers
7%
Milwaukee Bucks
7%
Chicago Bulls
6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 46%
Denver Nuggets 45%
Houston Rockets 45%
New Orleans Pelicans 45%
最新
最新
2027-05-18
Oklahoma City Thunder
$0 交易量
46%
Denver Nuggets
$0 交易量
45%
Houston Rockets
$0 交易量
45%
New Orleans Pelicans
$0 交易量
45%
Washington Wizards
$0 交易量
45%
Golden State Warriors
$0 交易量
45%
Indiana Pacers
$0 交易量
45%
Portland Trail Blazers
$0 交易量
45%
San Antonio Spurs
$0 交易量
45%
Utah Jazz
$0 交易量
45%
Atlanta Hawks
$0 交易量
45%
Dallas Mavericks
$0 交易量
45%
Los Angeles Lakers
$0 交易量
45%
Minnesota Timberwolves
$0 交易量
45%
Toronto Raptors
$0 交易量
45%
Cleveland Cavaliers
$0 交易量
44%
Sacramento Kings
$0 交易量
44%
Charlotte Hornets
$0 交易量
43%
Boston Celtics
$0 交易量
42%
Detroit Pistons
$0 交易量
37%
New York Knicks
$0 交易量
37%
Miami Heat
$0 交易量
36%
Philadelphia 76ers
$0 交易量
25%
Orlando Magic
$0 交易量
25%
Phoenix Suns
$0 交易量
25%
Memphis Grizzlies
$0 交易量
8%
Brooklyn Nets
$0 交易量
7%
Los Angeles Clippers
$0 交易量
7%
Milwaukee Bucks
$0 交易量
7%
Chicago Bulls
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched field for the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first pick, with multiple teams holding implied probabilities near 45-50% due to substantial uncertainty in projected 2026-27 regular-season records. League parity, summer roster adjustments, and variable young-core development keep many franchises within striking distance of the worst standings that determine lottery positioning. Stronger projected clubs such as the Milwaukee Bucks, Los Angeles Clippers, and Chicago Bulls sit at single-digit levels, consistent with expectations of competitive finishes, while the broad middle group remains vulnerable to slumps or tanking scenarios that could shift outcomes before the season concludes.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2027-05-18市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched field for the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first pick, with multiple teams holding implied probabilities near 45-50% due to substantial uncertainty in projected 2026-27 regular-season records. League parity, summer roster adjustments, and variable young-core development keep many franchises within striking distance of the worst standings that determine lottery positioning. Stronger projected clubs such as the Milwaukee Bucks, Los Angeles Clippers, and Chicago Bulls sit at single-digit levels, consistent with expectations of competitive finishes, while the broad middle group remains vulnerable to slumps or tanking scenarios that could shift outcomes before the season concludes.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2027-05-18市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched field for the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first pick, with multiple teams holding implied probabilities near 45-50% due to substantial uncertainty in projected 2026-27 regular-season records. League parity, summer roster adjustments, and variable young-core development keep many franchises within striking distance of the worst standings that determine lottery positioning. Stronger projected clubs such as the Milwaukee Bucks, Los Angeles Clippers, and Chicago Bulls sit at single-digit levels, consistent with expectations of competitive finishes, while the broad middle group remains vulnerable to slumps or tanking scenarios that could shift outcomes before the season concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions