Trader consensus strongly favors the "No" outcome at 98.6% implied probability because MrBeast videos have historically peaked between 15 and 30 million views in their first 24 hours, even for major releases with extensive promotion and high production values. Recent uploads through mid-May 2026 have shown no deviation from this range, with standard YouTube analytics and platform metrics reflecting steady but not explosive early performance amid typical competition from other creators. The tight timeline to May 31 leaves little room for the kind of unprecedented viral surge or cross-platform amplification needed to cross 50 million quickly. While a surprise mega-collaboration or algorithm-driven breakout remains a theoretical upset scenario, current industry patterns and engagement data support the market's near-certain stance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Apr 27, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus strongly favors the "No" outcome at 98.6% implied probability because MrBeast videos have historically peaked between 15 and 30 million views in their first 24 hours, even for major releases with extensive promotion and high production values. Recent uploads through mid-May 2026 have shown no deviation from this range, with standard YouTube analytics and platform metrics reflecting steady but not explosive early performance amid typical competition from other creators. The tight timeline to May 31 leaves little room for the kind of unprecedented viral surge or cross-platform amplification needed to cross 50 million quickly. While a surprise mega-collaboration or algorithm-driven breakout remains a theoretical upset scenario, current industry patterns and engagement data support the market's near-certain stance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions