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icon for 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

icon for 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

1% 機率
Polymarket
最新
1% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors the "No" outcome at 98.6% implied probability because MrBeast videos have historically peaked between 15 and 30 million views in their first 24 hours, even for major releases with extensive promotion and high production values. Recent uploads through mid-May 2026 have shown no deviation from this range, with standard YouTube analytics and platform metrics reflecting steady but not explosive early performance amid typical competition from other creators. The tight timeline to May 31 leaves little room for the kind of unprecedented viral surge or cross-platform amplification needed to cross 50 million quickly. While a surprise mega-collaboration or algorithm-driven breakout remains a theoretical upset scenario, current industry patterns and engagement data support the market's near-certain stance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
交易量
$8,968
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors the "No" outcome at 98.6% implied probability because MrBeast videos have historically peaked between 15 and 30 million views in their first 24 hours, even for major releases with extensive promotion and high production values. Recent uploads through mid-May 2026 have shown no deviation from this range, with standard YouTube analytics and platform metrics reflecting steady but not explosive early performance amid typical competition from other creators. The tight timeline to May 31 leaves little room for the kind of unprecedented viral surge or cross-platform amplification needed to cross 50 million quickly. While a surprise mega-collaboration or algorithm-driven breakout remains a theoretical upset scenario, current industry patterns and engagement data support the market's near-certain stance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
交易量
$8,968
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 1% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 1¢, the market collectively assigns a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?" is 1% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.