**Guterres’ second five-year term as UN Secretary-General ends on December 31, 2026, with the successor scheduled to assume office on January 1, 2027.** The formal selection process, launched in November 2025, includes candidate nominations, interactive dialogues, and Security Council straw polls; the second such poll occurred on August 21, 2026, without any candidate securing the required nine votes. No public statements, announcements, or credible reporting indicate an early resignation, removal, or term extension. Recent coverage consistently describes Guterres as completing his mandate at year-end while the Council advances confidential deliberations among the eight nominated candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% “No” price aligns with this timeline and the absence of disruptive events that would force an earlier departure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於26% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
26% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Guterres’ second five-year term as UN Secretary-General ends on December 31, 2026, with the successor scheduled to assume office on January 1, 2027.** The formal selection process, launched in November 2025, includes candidate nominations, interactive dialogues, and Security Council straw polls; the second such poll occurred on August 21, 2026, without any candidate securing the required nine votes.
No public statements, announcements, or credible reporting indicate an early resignation, removal, or term extension. Recent coverage consistently describes Guterres as completing his mandate at year-end while the Council advances confidential deliberations among the eight nominated candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% “No” price aligns with this timeline and the absence of disruptive events that would force an earlier departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
交易量
$2,313結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Guterres’ second five-year term as UN Secretary-General ends on December 31, 2026, with the successor scheduled to assume office on January 1, 2027.** The formal selection process, launched in November 2025, includes candidate nominations, interactive dialogues, and Security Council straw polls; the second such poll occurred on August 21, 2026, without any candidate securing the required nine votes.
No public statements, announcements, or credible reporting indicate an early resignation, removal, or term extension. Recent coverage consistently describes Guterres as completing his mandate at year-end while the Council advances confidential deliberations among the eight nominated candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% “No” price aligns with this timeline and the absence of disruptive events that would force an earlier departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,313結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET**Guterres’ second five-year term as UN Secretary-General ends on December 31, 2026, with the successor scheduled to assume office on January 1, 2027.** The formal selection process, launched in November 2025, includes candidate nominations, interactive dialogues, and Security Council straw polls; the second such poll occurred on August 21, 2026, without any candidate securing the required nine votes. No public statements, announcements, or credible reporting indicate an early resignation, removal, or term extension. Recent coverage consistently describes Guterres as completing his mandate at year-end while the Council advances confidential deliberations among the eight nominated candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% “No” price aligns with this timeline and the absence of disruptive events that would force an earlier departure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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