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安華·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )擔任馬來西亞首相的時候... ?

icon for 安華·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )擔任馬來西亞首相的時候... ?

安華·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )擔任馬來西亞首相的時候... ?

最新
2026-12-31
Polymarket

$69 交易量

Polymarket

2026年7月31日

$69 交易量

22%

2026年9月30日

$0 交易量

28%

2026年12月31日

$0 交易量

33%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anwar Ibrahim remains Malaysia’s prime minister under the unity government formed after the 2022 election, yet his position faces mounting pressure from coalition fractures, including recent defections and friction with key partners. Johor state polls on 11 July and Negeri Sembilan on 1 August function as early leadership tests whose outcomes could erode parliamentary support or prompt calls for a snap national election before the 2028 deadline. Internal tensions within Pakatan Harapan and the broader alliance, combined with opposition positioning by Islamist parties, have fueled speculation over early polls and cabinet stability following the December 2025 reshuffle. Traders monitor these state results and any parliamentary defections as the main near-term catalysts that could alter the timeline for a leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$69
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anwar Ibrahim remains Malaysia’s prime minister under the unity government formed after the 2022 election, yet his position faces mounting pressure from coalition fractures, including recent defections and friction with key partners. Johor state polls on 11 July and Negeri Sembilan on 1 August function as early leadership tests whose outcomes could erode parliamentary support or prompt calls for a snap national election before the 2028 deadline. Internal tensions within Pakatan Harapan and the broader alliance, combined with opposition positioning by Islamist parties, have fueled speculation over early polls and cabinet stability following the December 2025 reshuffle. Traders monitor these state results and any parliamentary defections as the main near-term catalysts that could alter the timeline for a leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$69
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"安華·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )擔任馬來西亞首相的時候... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 33%, followed by "2026年9月30日" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"安華·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )擔任馬來西亞首相的時候... ?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "安華·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )擔任馬來西亞首相的時候... ?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "安華·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )擔任馬來西亞首相的時候... ?" is "2026年12月31日" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年9月30日" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "安華·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )擔任馬來西亞首相的時候... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.