Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 59.5% implied probability due to his standout 2025/26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where prolific goal contributions and consistency across domestic competitions positioned him as the frontrunner entering the World Cup. His England performances, including multiple goals and all-time scoring milestones, further reinforced trader sentiment despite the team's semifinal exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.7% following Spain's World Cup triumph and his decisive contributions there, though his Barcelona form has not yet matched Kane's volume. Rodri (9.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (8.3%) trail amid strong but less dominant club and international outputs this cycle, while lower-priced names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia reflect solid seasons without the same trophy or statistical weight. Market pricing reflects post-tournament adjustments favoring Kane's overall body of work.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哈里·凱恩 59.5%
拉明·亞馬爾 15.7%
羅德里 10%
基利安·姆巴佩 8.3%
$29,161,035 交易量
$29,161,035 交易量
哈里·凱恩
59%
拉明·亞馬爾
16%
羅德里
10%
基利安·姆巴佩
8%
克維查·克瓦拉茨赫利亞
4%
萊納爾·梅西
2%
奧斯曼·登貝萊
2%
法比安·魯伊斯
1%
厄林·哈蘭德
<1%
邁克爾·奧利塞
<1%
裘德·貝林漢
<1%
迪克蘭·賴斯
<1%
維蒂尼亞
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
穆罕默德·薩拉赫
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
<1%
佩德里
<1%
科爾·帕爾默
<1%
朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%
拉芬尼亞
<1%
布魯諾·費爾南德斯
<1%
勞塔羅·馬丁內斯
<1%
克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多
<1%
恩佐·費爾南德斯
<1%
費德里科·巴爾韋德
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
<1%
路易斯·迪亞斯
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
<1%
羅德里戈
<1%
布卡約·薩卡
<1%
哈里·凱恩 59.5%
拉明·亞馬爾 15.7%
羅德里 10%
基利安·姆巴佩 8.3%
$29,161,035 交易量
$29,161,035 交易量
哈里·凱恩
59%
拉明·亞馬爾
16%
羅德里
10%
基利安·姆巴佩
8%
克維查·克瓦拉茨赫利亞
4%
萊納爾·梅西
2%
奧斯曼·登貝萊
2%
法比安·魯伊斯
1%
厄林·哈蘭德
<1%
邁克爾·奧利塞
<1%
裘德·貝林漢
<1%
迪克蘭·賴斯
<1%
維蒂尼亞
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
穆罕默德·薩拉赫
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
<1%
佩德里
<1%
科爾·帕爾默
<1%
朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%
拉芬尼亞
<1%
布魯諾·費爾南德斯
<1%
勞塔羅·馬丁內斯
<1%
克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多
<1%
恩佐·費爾南德斯
<1%
費德里科·巴爾韋德
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
<1%
路易斯·迪亞斯
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
<1%
羅德里戈
<1%
布卡約·薩卡
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 59.5% implied probability due to his standout 2025/26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where prolific goal contributions and consistency across domestic competitions positioned him as the frontrunner entering the World Cup. His England performances, including multiple goals and all-time scoring milestones, further reinforced trader sentiment despite the team's semifinal exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.7% following Spain's World Cup triumph and his decisive contributions there, though his Barcelona form has not yet matched Kane's volume. Rodri (9.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (8.3%) trail amid strong but less dominant club and international outputs this cycle, while lower-priced names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia reflect solid seasons without the same trophy or statistical weight. Market pricing reflects post-tournament adjustments favoring Kane's overall body of work.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions