Persistent above-target inflation and escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East are the main factors supporting the 79.5% market-implied odds of at least one Bank of England rate hike in 2026. March CPI rose to 3.3%, prompting the Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in April while highlighting upside risks to wages and second-round effects. Adverse scenarios in the Bank’s latest forecasts show inflation potentially peaking above 6% by early 2027, requiring Bank Rate to reach 5.25%. Futures markets have priced in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, with the June 18 MPC meeting serving as the next key catalyst for any policy shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$27,801 交易量
$27,801 交易量
是
$27,801 交易量
$27,801 交易量
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent above-target inflation and escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East are the main factors supporting the 79.5% market-implied odds of at least one Bank of England rate hike in 2026. March CPI rose to 3.3%, prompting the Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in April while highlighting upside risks to wages and second-round effects. Adverse scenarios in the Bank’s latest forecasts show inflation potentially peaking above 6% by early 2027, requiring Bank Rate to reach 5.25%. Futures markets have priced in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, with the June 18 MPC meeting serving as the next key catalyst for any policy shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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