With the market showing Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland narrowly ahead of Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden, traders are pricing in two directors with strong auteur pedigrees and prior critical momentum at Cannes. Pawlikowski’s earlier Palme success and Hamaguchi’s recent festival track record create frontrunner status, while the rest of the field remains fragmented among established names like Andrey Zvyagintsev and emerging international voices. Early screenings and jury deliberations remain the key swing factors, as historical voting patterns at the festival often reward thematic ambition over box-office expectations in this tightly contested awards race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner
Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 30%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 24%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 20%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 17.5%
最新
最新
2026-05-23
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI
30%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke
22%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV
20%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI
17%
AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR
9%
FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU
10%
MOULIN by László NEMES
9%
A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET
7%
NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE
5%
HOPE by NA Hong-jin
5%
詹姆斯·格雷《紙老虎》
5%
THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS
4%
PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI
3%
SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu
2%
THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS
2%
THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI
2%
COWARD by Lukas DHONT
17%
GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER
2%
EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)
11%
DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH
1%
NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji
1%
ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY
1%
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 30%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 24%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 20%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 17.5%
最新
最新
2026-05-23
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI
$929 交易量
30%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke
$768 交易量
22%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV
$919 交易量
20%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI
$316 交易量
17%
AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR
$200 交易量
9%
FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU
$230 交易量
10%
MOULIN by László NEMES
$171 交易量
9%
A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET
$171 交易量
7%
NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE
$156 交易量
5%
HOPE by NA Hong-jin
$2,435 交易量
5%
詹姆斯·格雷《紙老虎》
$161 交易量
5%
THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS
$171 交易量
4%
PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI
$664 交易量
3%
SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu
$1,169 交易量
2%
THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS
$141 交易量
2%
THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI
$342 交易量
2%
COWARD by Lukas DHONT
$209 交易量
17%
GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER
$192 交易量
2%
EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)
$194 交易量
11%
DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH
$145 交易量
1%
NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji
$87 交易量
1%
ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY
$152 交易量
1%
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the market showing Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland narrowly ahead of Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden, traders are pricing in two directors with strong auteur pedigrees and prior critical momentum at Cannes. Pawlikowski’s earlier Palme success and Hamaguchi’s recent festival track record create frontrunner status, while the rest of the field remains fragmented among established names like Andrey Zvyagintsev and emerging international voices. Early screenings and jury deliberations remain the key swing factors, as historical voting patterns at the festival often reward thematic ambition over box-office expectations in this tightly contested awards race.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$9,922結束日期
2026-05-23市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the market showing Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland narrowly ahead of Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden, traders are pricing in two directors with strong auteur pedigrees and prior critical momentum at Cannes. Pawlikowski’s earlier Palme success and Hamaguchi’s recent festival track record create frontrunner status, while the rest of the field remains fragmented among established names like Andrey Zvyagintsev and emerging international voices. Early screenings and jury deliberations remain the key swing factors, as historical voting patterns at the festival often reward thematic ambition over box-office expectations in this tightly contested awards race.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,922結束日期
2026-05-23市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the market showing Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland narrowly ahead of Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden, traders are pricing in two directors with strong auteur pedigrees and prior critical momentum at Cannes. Pawlikowski’s earlier Palme success and Hamaguchi’s recent festival track record create frontrunner status, while the rest of the field remains fragmented among established names like Andrey Zvyagintsev and emerging international voices. Early screenings and jury deliberations remain the key swing factors, as historical voting patterns at the festival often reward thematic ambition over box-office expectations in this tightly contested awards race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions