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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 35%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 29%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH 18.3%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 18%

Polymarket
最新

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 35%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 29%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH 18.3%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 18%

Polymarket
最新

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$945 交易量

35%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$768 交易量

29%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$145 交易量

18%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$919 交易量

18%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$200 交易量

11%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$316 交易量

11%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$230 交易量

11%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$362 交易量

9%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$141 交易量

8%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$194 交易量

5%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$2,459 交易量

5%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$87 交易量

5%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$171 交易量

5%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$209 交易量

5%

詹姆斯·格雷《紙老虎》

$161 交易量

5%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$171 交易量

3%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$664 交易量

3%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$192 交易量

3%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$171 交易量

3%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$1,169 交易量

2%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$156 交易量

2%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$152 交易量

10%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the Palme d'Or at Cannes reflects a field of seasoned international auteurs whose latest works have generated strong early buzz among critics and programmers. Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND holds the top position with 35% implied probability, edging out Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s ALL OF A SUDDEN at 28%, as traders weigh Pawlikowski’s proven festival track record against Hamaguchi’s recent Palme-winning momentum. Andrey Zvyagintsev’s MINOTAUR sits at 19% on the strength of its politically charged storytelling, while a broad pack of titles from Pedro Almodóvar, Cristian Mungiu, and others cluster between 11% and 5%, underscoring how jury composition, premiere screenings, and last-minute critical reception can still reshape outcomes in the coming days.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,981
結束日期
2026-05-23
市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the Palme d'Or at Cannes reflects a field of seasoned international auteurs whose latest works have generated strong early buzz among critics and programmers. Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND holds the top position with 35% implied probability, edging out Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s ALL OF A SUDDEN at 28%, as traders weigh Pawlikowski’s proven festival track record against Hamaguchi’s recent Palme-winning momentum. Andrey Zvyagintsev’s MINOTAUR sits at 19% on the strength of its politically charged storytelling, while a broad pack of titles from Pedro Almodóvar, Cristian Mungiu, and others cluster between 11% and 5%, underscoring how jury composition, premiere screenings, and last-minute critical reception can still reshape outcomes in the coming days.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,981
結束日期
2026-05-23
市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" at 35%, followed by "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.