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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 27%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 27%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 15%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 14%

Polymarket
最新

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 27%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 27%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 15%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 14%

Polymarket
最新

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$880 交易量

27%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$1,826 交易量

27%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$876 交易量

15%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$710 交易量

18%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$38 交易量

11%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$111 交易量

10%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$192 交易量

17%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$278 交易量

5%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$119 交易量

5%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$171 交易量

5%

詹姆斯·格雷《紙老虎》

$61 交易量

4%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$103 交易量

4%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$103 交易量

4%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$304 交易量

4%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$103 交易量

4%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$621 交易量

3%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$113 交易量

3%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$162 交易量

3%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$104 交易量

3%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$1,154 交易量

3%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$103 交易量

2%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$72 交易量

<1%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the Palme d’Or reflects a stacked competition slate of 22 films from established auteurs, with Na Hong-jin’s Hope holding a narrow edge in trader sentiment thanks to the director’s proven track record in genre-blending thrillers and early positive word-of-mouth from its Cannes premiere. Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland and Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden follow closely, buoyed by strong critical consensus and their directors’ recent festival successes, while Cristian Mungiu’s Fjord and Andrey Zvyagintsev’s Minotaur draw support from their auteurs’ historical Palme pedigree. With the jury led by Park Chan-wook and including Demi Moore set to deliberate through the final week, key differentiating factors include critical reception, thematic resonance with the festival’s emphasis on international cinema, and any last-minute buzz from remaining screenings.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,206
結束日期
2026-05-23
市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the Palme d’Or reflects a stacked competition slate of 22 films from established auteurs, with Na Hong-jin’s Hope holding a narrow edge in trader sentiment thanks to the director’s proven track record in genre-blending thrillers and early positive word-of-mouth from its Cannes premiere. Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland and Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden follow closely, buoyed by strong critical consensus and their directors’ recent festival successes, while Cristian Mungiu’s Fjord and Andrey Zvyagintsev’s Minotaur draw support from their auteurs’ historical Palme pedigree. With the jury led by Park Chan-wook and including Demi Moore set to deliberate through the final week, key differentiating factors include critical reception, thematic resonance with the festival’s emphasis on international cinema, and any last-minute buzz from remaining screenings.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,206
結束日期
2026-05-23
市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" at 27%, followed by "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.