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icon for 2026年CMA年度音樂活動

2026年CMA年度音樂活動

icon for 2026年CMA年度音樂活動

2026年CMA年度音樂活動

A Song To Sing（Miranda Lambert 和 Chris Stapleton） 56%

I Can't Love You Anymore（Ella Langley 和 Morgan Wallen） 26%

McArthur（HARDY、Eric Church、Morgan Wallen 和 Tim McGraw） 8.7%

Horses and Divorces（Kacey Musgraves 與 Miranda Lambert 合作） 9%

Polymarket
最新

A Song To Sing（Miranda Lambert 和 Chris Stapleton） 56%

I Can't Love You Anymore（Ella Langley 和 Morgan Wallen） 26%

McArthur（HARDY、Eric Church、Morgan Wallen 和 Tim McGraw） 8.7%

Horses and Divorces（Kacey Musgraves 與 Miranda Lambert 合作） 9%

Polymarket
最新

A Song To Sing（Miranda Lambert 和 Chris Stapleton）

$1,591 交易量

56%

I Can't Love You Anymore（Ella Langley 和 Morgan Wallen）

$1,741 交易量

26%

McArthur（HARDY、Eric Church、Morgan Wallen 和 Tim McGraw）

$27 交易量

9%

Horses and Divorces（Kacey Musgraves 與 Miranda Lambert 合作）

$267 交易量

9%

If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay（Carly Pearce 與 Riley Green）

$27 交易量

5%

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton’s “A Song To Sing” holds the strongest trader consensus at 56% implied probability for CMA Musical Event of the Year, driven by its July 2025 release, radio success, and the pair’s high-profile 2025 CMA performance that highlighted their chemistry on a buoyant, tradition-rooted duet. The category remains competitive among five star-powered nominees, with Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen’s “I Can’t Love You Anymore” at 25.5% reflecting Langley’s overall nomination dominance and streaming strength, though tempered by broader industry dynamics around Wallen. Lower-priced entries like Kacey Musgraves and Miranda Lambert’s “Horses and Divorces,” Carly Pearce and Riley Green’s track, and the multi-artist “McArthur” each bring notable name recognition and producer pedigrees but trail in current momentum. With the November 18 ceremony two months away, recent critical reception, additional airplay gains, and any late vocal endorsements from key voters could still shift positioning in this wide-open field.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year.

If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,653
結束日期
2026-11-19
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton’s “A Song To Sing” holds the strongest trader consensus at 56% implied probability for CMA Musical Event of the Year, driven by its July 2025 release, radio success, and the pair’s high-profile 2025 CMA performance that highlighted their chemistry on a buoyant, tradition-rooted duet. The category remains competitive among five star-powered nominees, with Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen’s “I Can’t Love You Anymore” at 25.5% reflecting Langley’s overall nomination dominance and streaming strength, though tempered by broader industry dynamics around Wallen. Lower-priced entries like Kacey Musgraves and Miranda Lambert’s “Horses and Divorces,” Carly Pearce and Riley Green’s track, and the multi-artist “McArthur” each bring notable name recognition and producer pedigrees but trail in current momentum. With the November 18 ceremony two months away, recent critical reception, additional airplay gains, and any late vocal endorsements from key voters could still shift positioning in this wide-open field.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year.

If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,653
結束日期
2026-11-19
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年CMA年度音樂活動" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Song To Sing（Miranda Lambert 和 Chris Stapleton）" at 56%, followed by "I Can't Love You Anymore（Ella Langley 和 Morgan Wallen）" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年CMA年度音樂活動" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年CMA年度音樂活動," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年CMA年度音樂活動" is "A Song To Sing（Miranda Lambert 和 Chris Stapleton）" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "I Can't Love You Anymore（Ella Langley 和 Morgan Wallen）" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年CMA年度音樂活動" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.