Trader consensus on no Ebola pandemic in 2026 at 92.5% reflects the regional confinement of the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where confirmed cases number in the hundreds with limited cross-border spread as of mid-June. Declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO in May but explicitly not meeting pandemic emergency criteria, the event shows low transmission risk outside affected zones due to established surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation protocols despite conflict-related challenges. CDC assessments rate U.S. and global public risk as low, consistent with historical patterns of contained Ebola events. Scenarios that could alter odds include sustained low isolation rates enabling exponential growth per modeling or undetected exportation to high-density areas.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
$521,261 交易量
$521,261 交易量
2026-12-31
$521,261 交易量
$521,261 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on no Ebola pandemic in 2026 at 92.5% reflects the regional confinement of the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where confirmed cases number in the hundreds with limited cross-border spread as of mid-June. Declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO in May but explicitly not meeting pandemic emergency criteria, the event shows low transmission risk outside affected zones due to established surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation protocols despite conflict-related challenges. CDC assessments rate U.S. and global public risk as low, consistent with historical patterns of contained Ebola events. Scenarios that could alter odds include sustained low isolation rates enabling exponential growth per modeling or undetected exportation to high-density areas.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$521,261結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on no Ebola pandemic in 2026 at 92.5% reflects the regional confinement of the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where confirmed cases number in the hundreds with limited cross-border spread as of mid-June. Declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO in May but explicitly not meeting pandemic emergency criteria, the event shows low transmission risk outside affected zones due to established surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation protocols despite conflict-related challenges. CDC assessments rate U.S. and global public risk as low, consistent with historical patterns of contained Ebola events. Scenarios that could alter odds include sustained low isolation rates enabling exponential growth per modeling or undetected exportation to high-density areas.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$521,261結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on no Ebola pandemic in 2026 at 92.5% reflects the regional confinement of the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where confirmed cases number in the hundreds with limited cross-border spread as of mid-June. Declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO in May but explicitly not meeting pandemic emergency criteria, the event shows low transmission risk outside affected zones due to established surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation protocols despite conflict-related challenges. CDC assessments rate U.S. and global public risk as low, consistent with historical patterns of contained Ebola events. Scenarios that could alter odds include sustained low isolation rates enabling exponential growth per modeling or undetected exportation to high-density areas.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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