**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.2% for an Ebola pandemic in 2026 reflects the Bundibugyo virus outbreak's regional containment despite rapid early growth to over 7,200 confirmed cases and 3,500 deaths across DRC provinces by mid-September.** Official CDC and WHO data show transmission via direct bodily fluid contact, with no sustained community spread outside Africa, only isolated export cases (Uganda and one in France), and declining incidence in key areas like Ituri. Enhanced screening, contact tracing, and response activation have kept global risk low per modeling, consistent with historical patterns where even large African outbreaks rarely export widely. Realistic shifts could arise from undetected chains in neighboring countries with limited surveillance or if control measures falter before year-end, though current trajectories and low intercontinental export rates support the market's high confidence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
3% 機率
$764,285 交易量
$764,285 交易量
2026-12-31
3% 機率
$764,285 交易量
$764,285 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.2% for an Ebola pandemic in 2026 reflects the Bundibugyo virus outbreak's regional containment despite rapid early growth to over 7,200 confirmed cases and 3,500 deaths across DRC provinces by mid-September.** Official CDC and WHO data show transmission via direct bodily fluid contact, with no sustained community spread outside Africa, only isolated export cases (Uganda and one in France), and declining incidence in key areas like Ituri. Enhanced screening, contact tracing, and response activation have kept global risk low per modeling, consistent with historical patterns where even large African outbreaks rarely export widely. Realistic shifts could arise from undetected chains in neighboring countries with limited surveillance or if control measures falter before year-end, though current trajectories and low intercontinental export rates support the market's high confidence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$764,285結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.2% for an Ebola pandemic in 2026 reflects the Bundibugyo virus outbreak's regional containment despite rapid early growth to over 7,200 confirmed cases and 3,500 deaths across DRC provinces by mid-September.** Official CDC and WHO data show transmission via direct bodily fluid contact, with no sustained community spread outside Africa, only isolated export cases (Uganda and one in France), and declining incidence in key areas like Ituri. Enhanced screening, contact tracing, and response activation have kept global risk low per modeling, consistent with historical patterns where even large African outbreaks rarely export widely. Realistic shifts could arise from undetected chains in neighboring countries with limited surveillance or if control measures falter before year-end, though current trajectories and low intercontinental export rates support the market's high confidence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$764,285結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.2% for an Ebola pandemic in 2026 reflects the Bundibugyo virus outbreak's regional containment despite rapid early growth to over 7,200 confirmed cases and 3,500 deaths across DRC provinces by mid-September.** Official CDC and WHO data show transmission via direct bodily fluid contact, with no sustained community spread outside Africa, only isolated export cases (Uganda and one in France), and declining incidence in key areas like Ituri. Enhanced screening, contact tracing, and response activation have kept global risk low per modeling, consistent with historical patterns where even large African outbreaks rarely export widely. Realistic shifts could arise from undetected chains in neighboring countries with limited surveillance or if control measures falter before year-end, though current trajectories and low intercontinental export rates support the market's high confidence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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