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icon for 2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

icon for 2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

$1,069,838 交易量

2026-05-14
Polymarket

$1,069,838 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 澳洲

澳洲

$120,152 交易量

是

icon for 盧森堡

盧森堡

$65,414 交易量

否

icon for 馬耳他

馬耳他

$35,835 交易量

是

icon for 羅馬尼亞

羅馬尼亞

$28,172 交易量

是

icon for 烏克蘭

烏克蘭

$44,648 交易量

是

icon for 阿爾巴尼亞

阿爾巴尼亞

$72,703 交易量

是

icon for 保加利亞

保加利亞

$150,833 交易量

是

icon for 捷克

捷克

$104,027 交易量

是

icon for 拉脫維亞

拉脫維亞

$32,362 交易量

否

icon for 亞美尼亞

亞美尼亞

$67,532 交易量

否

icon for 塞浦路斯

塞浦路斯

$104,985 交易量

是

icon for 瑞士

瑞士

$102,763 交易量

否

icon for 亞塞拜然

亞塞拜然

$24,754 交易量

否

icon for 丹麥

丹麥

$66,715 交易量

是

icon for 挪威

挪威

$48,942 交易量

是

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The second semi-final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026 unfolds tonight at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for the last 10 grand final spots alongside first semi qualifiers like Finland, Croatia, and Israel. Dress rehearsals yesterday showcased frontrunner momentum for Ukraine's LELÉKA with the heartfelt "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem delivering powerhouse "Eclipse," and Romania's provocative "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu, amplified by strong staging and diaspora televote potential. Bulgaria's opener DARA "Bangaranga" and Czechia's Daniel Zizka "CROSSROADS" impressed juries, per recap buzz, while Nordic entries Denmark and Norway face tight competition. Polymarket's trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on rehearsal standouts and historical qualification patterns, with results from combined jury and public votes revealed post-21:00 CEST show, ahead of Saturday's final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$1,069,838
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The second semi-final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026 unfolds tonight at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for the last 10 grand final spots alongside first semi qualifiers like Finland, Croatia, and Israel. Dress rehearsals yesterday showcased frontrunner momentum for Ukraine's LELÉKA with the heartfelt "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem delivering powerhouse "Eclipse," and Romania's provocative "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu, amplified by strong staging and diaspora televote potential. Bulgaria's opener DARA "Bangaranga" and Czechia's Daniel Zizka "CROSSROADS" impressed juries, per recap buzz, while Nordic entries Denmark and Norway face tight competition. Polymarket's trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on rehearsal standouts and historical qualification patterns, with results from combined jury and public votes revealed post-21:00 CEST show, ahead of Saturday's final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$1,069,838
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "澳洲" at 100%, followed by "馬耳他" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" is "澳洲" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬耳他" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.