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icon for 2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

icon for 2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

芬蘭 43.9%

希臘 14.0%

丹麥 12.3%

澳洲 5.7%

Polymarket

$158,000,040 交易量

芬蘭 43.9%

希臘 14.0%

丹麥 12.3%

澳洲 5.7%

Polymarket

$158,000,040 交易量

icon for 芬蘭

芬蘭

$4,647,039 交易量

44%

icon for 希臘

希臘

$3,902,631 交易量

14%

icon for 丹麥

丹麥

$2,429,272 交易量

12%

icon for 澳洲

澳洲

$2,588,715 交易量

6%

icon for 以色列

以色列

$2,991,092 交易量

5%

icon for 法國

法國

$3,196,159 交易量

5%

icon for 羅馬尼亞

羅馬尼亞

$2,742,347 交易量

4%

icon for 義大利

義大利

$3,737,151 交易量

2%

icon for 摩爾多瓦

摩爾多瓦

$4,179,404 交易量

1%

icon for 烏克蘭

烏克蘭

$2,809,901 交易量

1%

icon for 保加利亞

保加利亞

$3,083,712 交易量

1%

icon for 克羅地亞

克羅地亞

$4,505,473 交易量

1%

icon for 馬耳他

馬耳他

$2,980,701 交易量

1%

icon for 瑞典

瑞典

$2,149,453 交易量

1%

icon for 捷克

捷克

$2,323,004 交易量

1%

icon for 賽普勒斯

賽普勒斯

$2,748,741 交易量

1%

icon for 阿爾巴尼亞

阿爾巴尼亞

$6,753,811 交易量

<1%

icon for 挪威

挪威

$4,472,249 交易量

<1%

icon for 塞爾維亞

塞爾維亞

$5,580,454 交易量

<1%

icon for 盧森堡

盧森堡

$3,755,279 交易量

<1%

icon for 波蘭

波蘭

$6,438,954 交易量

<1%

icon for 奧地利

奧地利

$7,250,394 交易量

<1%

icon for 德國

德國

$3,373,556 交易量

<1%

icon for 拉脫維亞

拉脫維亞

$5,799,045 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞美尼亞

亞美尼亞

$6,514,546 交易量

<1%

icon for 立陶宛

立陶宛

$5,260,314 交易量

<1%

icon for 瑞士

瑞士

$5,744,472 交易量

<1%

icon for 英國

英國

$3,585,217 交易量

<1%

icon for 比利時

比利時

$5,058,328 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿塞拜疆

阿塞拜疆

$6,700,567 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" after a standout performance and qualification in yesterday's Semi-final 1 in Vienna, where the duo's live violin spectacle and passionate lyrics on desire ignited jury and televote buzz, extending their commanding market-implied 44% probability. Their UMK national final triumph, bolstered by dominant rehearsal feedback and OGAE fan poll victories, has traders piling in, viewing the entry's high-energy blend as a winner in both jury and public votes. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 14% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 12% hold as key challengers post-rehearsals, but Semi-final 2 tomorrow and Saturday's grand final could spark upsets amid unpredictable voting splits.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$158,000,040
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" after a standout performance and qualification in yesterday's Semi-final 1 in Vienna, where the duo's live violin spectacle and passionate lyrics on desire ignited jury and televote buzz, extending their commanding market-implied 44% probability. Their UMK national final triumph, bolstered by dominant rehearsal feedback and OGAE fan poll victories, has traders piling in, viewing the entry's high-energy blend as a winner in both jury and public votes. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 14% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 12% hold as key challengers post-rehearsals, but Semi-final 2 tomorrow and Saturday's grand final could spark upsets amid unpredictable voting splits.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$158,000,040
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "芬蘭" at 44%, followed by "希臘" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" has generated $158 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is "芬蘭" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "希臘" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.