Kimi Antonelli's breakout 2026 campaign with Mercedes, featuring multiple Grand Prix wins, poles, and the drivers' championship lead under the new lighter, hybrid-dominant regulations, anchors his 32.5% implied probability as frontrunner for F1 Action of the Year. Traders see his aggressive overtakes and consistent pace in tight packs as prime candidates for the FIA's annual award recognizing the most spectacular maneuver. Max Verstappen trails closely at 28.6% thanks to Red Bull's ongoing battles and his proven record in high-stakes wheel-to-wheel action, while Lewis Hamilton at 14.0% reflects Ferrari form without matching recent highlight frequency. The bunched top tier underscores a wide-open season where regulation-driven closer racing and several drivers' strong recent results keep multiple outcomes competitive through the second half.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kimi Antonelli 32%
Max Verstappen 28.6%
Arvid Lindblad 5.0%
Franco Colapinto 4.1%
$168,504 交易量
$168,504 交易量
Kimi Antonelli
32%
Max Verstappen
29%
Arvid Lindblad
5%
Franco Colapinto
4%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Lando Norris
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
George Russell
3%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Esteban Ocon
3%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
7%
Sergio Perez
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 32%
Max Verstappen 28.6%
Arvid Lindblad 5.0%
Franco Colapinto 4.1%
$168,504 交易量
$168,504 交易量
Kimi Antonelli
32%
Max Verstappen
29%
Arvid Lindblad
5%
Franco Colapinto
4%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Lando Norris
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
George Russell
3%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Esteban Ocon
3%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
7%
Sergio Perez
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli's breakout 2026 campaign with Mercedes, featuring multiple Grand Prix wins, poles, and the drivers' championship lead under the new lighter, hybrid-dominant regulations, anchors his 32.5% implied probability as frontrunner for F1 Action of the Year. Traders see his aggressive overtakes and consistent pace in tight packs as prime candidates for the FIA's annual award recognizing the most spectacular maneuver. Max Verstappen trails closely at 28.6% thanks to Red Bull's ongoing battles and his proven record in high-stakes wheel-to-wheel action, while Lewis Hamilton at 14.0% reflects Ferrari form without matching recent highlight frequency. The bunched top tier underscores a wide-open season where regulation-driven closer racing and several drivers' strong recent results keep multiple outcomes competitive through the second half.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions