Kimi Antonelli holds the highest implied probability at 27.5% for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix at Monza due to his dominant season form, including six wins and poles that have established him as the championship leader with Mercedes. The Italian driver’s recent consecutive victories and pace edge on high-speed circuits position him ahead of the field. Lewis Hamilton follows at 17% amid his strong Ferrari adaptation and podium results, while Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc, Oscar Piastri, and George Russell cluster near 14% on consistent recent form and team reliability. Max Verstappen sits at 11% reflecting Red Bull’s variable pace. The wide spread underscores Monza’s emphasis on qualifying, tire strategy, and race execution among multiple competitive packages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kimi Antonelli 28%
Lewis Hamilton 17%
Lando Norris 15%
Charles Leclerc 14%
Kimi Antonelli
28%
Lewis Hamilton
17%
Lando Norris
15%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Oscar Piastri
14%
George Russell
14%
Max Verstappen
11%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
9%
Arvid Lindblad
9%
Esteban Ocon
9%
Gabriel Bortoleto
8%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 28%
Lewis Hamilton 17%
Lando Norris 15%
Charles Leclerc 14%
Kimi Antonelli
28%
Lewis Hamilton
17%
Lando Norris
15%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Oscar Piastri
14%
George Russell
14%
Max Verstappen
11%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
9%
Arvid Lindblad
9%
Esteban Ocon
9%
Gabriel Bortoleto
8%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Kimi Antonelli holds the highest implied probability at 27.5% for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix at Monza due to his dominant season form, including six wins and poles that have established him as the championship leader with Mercedes. The Italian driver’s recent consecutive victories and pace edge on high-speed circuits position him ahead of the field. Lewis Hamilton follows at 17% amid his strong Ferrari adaptation and podium results, while Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc, Oscar Piastri, and George Russell cluster near 14% on consistent recent form and team reliability. Max Verstappen sits at 11% reflecting Red Bull’s variable pace. The wide spread underscores Monza’s emphasis on qualifying, tire strategy, and race execution among multiple competitive packages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions