The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 40-50% for leading contenders reflect the growing parity across women's international soccer, where Spain, the United States, Germany, England, Japan, France, and Brazil sit near the top of recent FIFA rankings with comparable squad depth and recent tournament experience. Defending champions Spain maintain strong technical cohesion after their 2023 title and solid showings in subsequent competitions, while the USWNT benefits from Olympic gold in 2024 and roster rebuilding under Emma Hayes. Host Brazil gains from home support across eight venues, and other European and Asian sides like the Netherlands, Sweden, and Japan leverage consistent qualification paths plus head-to-head resilience. With 14 teams already qualified and the field expanding through late 2026 playoffs, trader consensus captures uncertainty over form peaks, potential injuries, and schedule congestion heading into 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於United States 49%
Brazil 48%
Spain 46%
South Korea 46%
United States
49%
Brazil
48%
Spain
46%
South Korea
46%
North Korea
45%
Switzerland
45%
Mexico
45%
Italy
45%
Argentina
45%
Sweden
44%
Australia
44%
Nigeria
44%
Colombia
42%
England
41%
Germany
39%
Norway
39%
Denmark
39%
Japan
38%
France
37%
Portugal
37%
Netherlands
37%
China
32%
Canada
31%
Republic of Ireland
30%
United States 49%
Brazil 48%
Spain 46%
South Korea 46%
United States
49%
Brazil
48%
Spain
46%
South Korea
46%
North Korea
45%
Switzerland
45%
Mexico
45%
Italy
45%
Argentina
45%
Sweden
44%
Australia
44%
Nigeria
44%
Colombia
42%
England
41%
Germany
39%
Norway
39%
Denmark
39%
Japan
38%
France
37%
Portugal
37%
Netherlands
37%
China
32%
Canada
31%
Republic of Ireland
30%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup per the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup per the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 40-50% for leading contenders reflect the growing parity across women's international soccer, where Spain, the United States, Germany, England, Japan, France, and Brazil sit near the top of recent FIFA rankings with comparable squad depth and recent tournament experience. Defending champions Spain maintain strong technical cohesion after their 2023 title and solid showings in subsequent competitions, while the USWNT benefits from Olympic gold in 2024 and roster rebuilding under Emma Hayes. Host Brazil gains from home support across eight venues, and other European and Asian sides like the Netherlands, Sweden, and Japan leverage consistent qualification paths plus head-to-head resilience. With 14 teams already qualified and the field expanding through late 2026 playoffs, trader consensus captures uncertainty over form peaks, potential injuries, and schedule congestion heading into 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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