Trader consensus in the FIFA World Cup Group D winner market reflects a razor-thin contest between co-host USA (40.5%) and Türkiye (36.5%), driven by the USMNT's home-soil edges at West Coast venues like SoFi Stadium—hosting their opener versus Paraguay on June 12 and finale against Türkiye—tempered by the Crescent-Stars' playoff heroics over Kosovo on March 31 that propelled their qualification momentum and young talents like Arda Güler and Kenan Yıldız. Paraguay's gritty qualifiers, including a shock win over Brazil, secure third at 17.5% via defensive anchors, while Australia's Socceroos lag at 7.6% despite pre-camp roster boosts. Late club-season injuries to rivals and ongoing training camps in Mesa (Türkiye) and Florida (Australia) heighten volatility in this low-scoring group projection.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於美國 41%
土耳其 37%
巴拉圭 18%
澳大利亞 7.9%
$43,733 交易量
$43,733 交易量
美國
41%
土耳其
37%
巴拉圭
18%
澳大利亞
8%
美國 41%
土耳其 37%
巴拉圭 18%
澳大利亞 7.9%
$43,733 交易量
$43,733 交易量
美國
41%
土耳其
37%
巴拉圭
18%
澳大利亞
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the FIFA World Cup Group D winner market reflects a razor-thin contest between co-host USA (40.5%) and Türkiye (36.5%), driven by the USMNT's home-soil edges at West Coast venues like SoFi Stadium—hosting their opener versus Paraguay on June 12 and finale against Türkiye—tempered by the Crescent-Stars' playoff heroics over Kosovo on March 31 that propelled their qualification momentum and young talents like Arda Güler and Kenan Yıldız. Paraguay's gritty qualifiers, including a shock win over Brazil, secure third at 17.5% via defensive anchors, while Australia's Socceroos lag at 7.6% despite pre-camp roster boosts. Late club-season injuries to rivals and ongoing training camps in Mesa (Türkiye) and Florida (Australia) heighten volatility in this low-scoring group projection.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions