France's star-studded squad and historical dominance position them as the clear frontrunners to top Group I, reflected in their 71% implied probability. Didier Deschamps' recent 26-man selection, headlined by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, underscores Les Bleus' attacking depth and experience from recent international campaigns, giving them a decisive edge over Norway, Senegal, and Iraq. Norway's 21% standing stems from Erling Haaland's lethal finishing and a solid qualifying campaign that secured their first World Cup appearance in 28 years, though defensive vulnerabilities limit their upside. Senegal's 8.5% reflects their AFCON-winning pedigree and talent in attack, while Iraq's 0.9% aligns with their underdog status as play-off winners returning after decades away. The group draw sets up compelling early matches, but France's overall roster quality shapes trader consensus heading into June.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於法國 71%
挪威 21%
塞內加爾 9%
伊拉克 <1%
$137,759 交易量
$137,759 交易量
法國
71%
挪威
21%
塞內加爾
9%
伊拉克
1%
法國 71%
挪威 21%
塞內加爾 9%
伊拉克 <1%
$137,759 交易量
$137,759 交易量
法國
71%
挪威
21%
塞內加爾
9%
伊拉克
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's star-studded squad and historical dominance position them as the clear frontrunners to top Group I, reflected in their 71% implied probability. Didier Deschamps' recent 26-man selection, headlined by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, underscores Les Bleus' attacking depth and experience from recent international campaigns, giving them a decisive edge over Norway, Senegal, and Iraq. Norway's 21% standing stems from Erling Haaland's lethal finishing and a solid qualifying campaign that secured their first World Cup appearance in 28 years, though defensive vulnerabilities limit their upside. Senegal's 8.5% reflects their AFCON-winning pedigree and talent in attack, while Iraq's 0.9% aligns with their underdog status as play-off winners returning after decades away. The group draw sets up compelling early matches, but France's overall roster quality shapes trader consensus heading into June.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions