Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Moscow’s maximum temperature on June 11 will likely reach 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with the market’s narrow lead for 29°C reflecting minor differences in timing of peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Daytime solar insolation at Moscow’s latitude in mid-June drives rapid warming after sunrise, modulated by any residual cloud cover or weak frontal passage that could cap the high by 1–2°C. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with the observed spread in model guidance. Updated runs expected overnight and tomorrow morning will further refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日莫斯科最高溫度?
29°C 35%
30°C 31%
28°C 17%
31°C 11%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
17%
29°C
35%
30°C
31%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 31%
28°C 17%
31°C 11%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
17%
29°C
35%
30°C
31%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Moscow’s maximum temperature on June 11 will likely reach 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with the market’s narrow lead for 29°C reflecting minor differences in timing of peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Daytime solar insolation at Moscow’s latitude in mid-June drives rapid warming after sunrise, modulated by any residual cloud cover or weak frontal passage that could cap the high by 1–2°C. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with the observed spread in model guidance. Updated runs expected overnight and tomorrow morning will further refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions