Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global model consensus currently favor a Seoul daytime maximum of 23–24 °C on June 10, supported by partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and absent warm-air advection. Stable 500-hPa heights and mid-teens dew points have limited daytime heating, keeping values below the early-June climatological average near 25 °C amid recent northerly influences. This alignment concentrates trader-implied probabilities on the 23 °C and 24 °C bins while suppressing odds for 25 °C or higher. No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours; the next KMA update and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月10日首爾最高溫度?
23°C 42%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
25°C 7%
$97,786 交易量
$97,786 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
22%
23°C
42%
24°C
24%
25°C
7%
26°C或以上
1%
23°C 42%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
25°C 7%
$97,786 交易量
$97,786 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
22%
23°C
42%
24°C
24%
25°C
7%
26°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global model consensus currently favor a Seoul daytime maximum of 23–24 °C on June 10, supported by partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and absent warm-air advection. Stable 500-hPa heights and mid-teens dew points have limited daytime heating, keeping values below the early-June climatological average near 25 °C amid recent northerly influences. This alignment concentrates trader-implied probabilities on the 23 °C and 24 °C bins while suppressing odds for 25 °C or higher. No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours; the next KMA update and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions