Current forecast models for Tel Aviv indicate daytime highs near 29–30°C on June 11, with the market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty between those thresholds amid typical early-summer variability. In Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean climate, sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while clear skies and light winds under a strengthening subtropical ridge favor modest warming from the seasonal baseline of roughly 27–28°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance, with no strong signals for either significant cooling or heat advection. Traders are pricing the narrow range because small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation could tip the daily maximum by 1°C, and updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological services will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
30°C 43%
29°C 37%
31°C 10%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
37%
30°C
43%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 37%
31°C 10%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
37%
30°C
43%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Tel Aviv indicate daytime highs near 29–30°C on June 11, with the market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty between those thresholds amid typical early-summer variability. In Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean climate, sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while clear skies and light winds under a strengthening subtropical ridge favor modest warming from the seasonal baseline of roughly 27–28°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance, with no strong signals for either significant cooling or heat advection. Traders are pricing the narrow range because small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation could tip the daily maximum by 1°C, and updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological services will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions