Current forecast guidance from major meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes. This range reflects typical early-June variability under a moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating, with ensemble spreads showing only modest potential for slight warming or cooling depending on cloud cover and frontal timing. Updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak as the date approaches, while climatological baselines place the long-term June average high near 22°C. Traders are weighting the latest consensus heavily, as small shifts in guidance could quickly reallocate probability among the narrow temperature bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日華沙的最高溫度？
6月11日華沙的最高溫度？
17°C 40%
16°C 30%
18°C 18%
15°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-11
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
30%
17°C
40%
18°C
18%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C或更高
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 30%
18°C 18%
15°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-11
12°C或以下
$73 交易量
<1%
13°C
$189 交易量
1%
14°C
$278 交易量
1%
15°C
$875 交易量
6%
16°C
$769 交易量
30%
17°C
$301 交易量
40%
18°C
$484 交易量
18%
19°C
$1,063 交易量
4%
20°C
$428 交易量
1%
21°C
$291 交易量
1%
22°C或更高
$104 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from major meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes. This range reflects typical early-June variability under a moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating, with ensemble spreads showing only modest potential for slight warming or cooling depending on cloud cover and frontal timing. Updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak as the date approaches, while climatological baselines place the long-term June average high near 22°C. Traders are weighting the latest consensus heavily, as small shifts in guidance could quickly reallocate probability among the narrow temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,370結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from major meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes. This range reflects typical early-June variability under a moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating, with ensemble spreads showing only modest potential for slight warming or cooling depending on cloud cover and frontal timing. Updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak as the date approaches, while climatological baselines place the long-term June average high near 22°C. Traders are weighting the latest consensus heavily, as small shifts in guidance could quickly reallocate probability among the narrow temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,370結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from major meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes. This range reflects typical early-June variability under a moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating, with ensemble spreads showing only modest potential for slight warming or cooling depending on cloud cover and frontal timing. Updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak as the date approaches, while climatological baselines place the long-term June average high near 22°C. Traders are weighting the latest consensus heavily, as small shifts in guidance could quickly reallocate probability among the narrow temperature bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions