Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 9?
29°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
30°C <1%
$49,841 交易量
$49,841 交易量
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
29°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
30°C <1%
$49,841 交易量
$49,841 交易量
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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