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icon for KOSPI在2028年之前創下歷史新高?

KOSPI在2028年之前創下歷史新高?

icon for KOSPI在2028年之前創下歷史新高?

KOSPI在2028年之前創下歷史新高?

67% 機率
Polymarket
最新

67% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Strong expected earnings growth from South Korea’s semiconductor leaders, fueled by sustained AI-related memory demand, underpins the 68.5% market-implied probability that the KOSPI will set a new all-time high before 2028.** The index reached an intraday peak of 9,385.59 in June 2026 before correcting more than 25%, and it has since recovered toward 7,000 amid a September rally led by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Forward P/E ratios near 5.3x remain well below historical averages, while major banks maintain elevated targets—Goldman Sachs at 12,000 and Daishin Securities at 9,300 by year-end—reflecting 300%+ projected 2026 earnings growth that could moderate to 35% in 2027. Corporate governance reforms and share buybacks provide additional support, though concentration in two chipmakers and external macro risks introduce volatility that traders continue to price into the timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify.

Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.

The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,785
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Strong expected earnings growth from South Korea’s semiconductor leaders, fueled by sustained AI-related memory demand, underpins the 68.5% market-implied probability that the KOSPI will set a new all-time high before 2028.** The index reached an intraday peak of 9,385.59 in June 2026 before correcting more than 25%, and it has since recovered toward 7,000 amid a September rally led by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Forward P/E ratios near 5.3x remain well below historical averages, while major banks maintain elevated targets—Goldman Sachs at 12,000 and Daishin Securities at 9,300 by year-end—reflecting 300%+ projected 2026 earnings growth that could moderate to 35% in 2027. Corporate governance reforms and share buybacks provide additional support, though concentration in two chipmakers and external macro risks introduce volatility that traders continue to price into the timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify.

Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.

The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,785
結束日期
2028-01-01
市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"KOSPI在2028年之前創下歷史新高?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "KOSPI會在2028年前創下歷史新高嗎?" at 67%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"KOSPI在2028年之前創下歷史新高?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "KOSPI在2028年之前創下歷史新高?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "KOSPI在2028年之前創下歷史新高?" is "KOSPI會在2028年前創下歷史新高嗎?" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "KOSPI在2028年之前創下歷史新高?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.