The Tampa Bay Rays hold an 81.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East after posting a 74-47 record and a roughly seven-game lead as of mid-August. Their surge stems from elite pitching depth, strong defensive metrics, and a return to Tropicana Field that has supported consistent home results. The New York Yankees sit at 15% after a 68-54 mark, remaining in striking distance but hampered by inconsistent offense and bullpen performance that has prevented them from closing the gap. Boston trails further at 5.7% with a sub-.550 record, while the Orioles and Blue Jays linger near the bottom with minimal realistic paths remaining. Trader consensus reflects the Rays’ sustained divisional lead and the compressed schedule window left for challengers to mount a sustained run.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Tampa Bay Rays 81.9%
New York Yankees 15%
Boston Red Sox 5.7%
Baltimore Orioles <1%
$235,556 交易量
$235,556 交易量
Tampa Bay Rays
82%
New York Yankees
15%
Boston Red Sox
6%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Toronto Blue Jays
<1%
Tampa Bay Rays 81.9%
New York Yankees 15%
Boston Red Sox 5.7%
Baltimore Orioles <1%
$235,556 交易量
$235,556 交易量
Tampa Bay Rays
82%
New York Yankees
15%
Boston Red Sox
6%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Toronto Blue Jays
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tampa Bay Rays hold an 81.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East after posting a 74-47 record and a roughly seven-game lead as of mid-August. Their surge stems from elite pitching depth, strong defensive metrics, and a return to Tropicana Field that has supported consistent home results. The New York Yankees sit at 15% after a 68-54 mark, remaining in striking distance but hampered by inconsistent offense and bullpen performance that has prevented them from closing the gap. Boston trails further at 5.7% with a sub-.550 record, while the Orioles and Blue Jays linger near the bottom with minimal realistic paths remaining. Trader consensus reflects the Rays’ sustained divisional lead and the compressed schedule window left for challengers to mount a sustained run.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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