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icon for 美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍
運動·MLB

美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍

icon for 美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍
運動·MLB

美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍

雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基 97.7%

山本由伸 1.3%

保羅·斯肯斯 1.1%

Cristopher Sanchez <1%

Polymarket

$1,104,594 交易量

雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基 97.7%

山本由伸 1.3%

保羅·斯肯斯 1.1%

Cristopher Sanchez <1%

Polymarket

$1,104,594 交易量

雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基

$35,497 交易量

98%

山本由伸

$13,332 交易量

1%

保羅·斯肯斯

$31,063 交易量

1%

Cristopher Sanchez

$55,879 交易量

1%

Chris Sale

$14,887 交易量

1%

Freddy Peralta

$112,942 交易量

<1%

大谷翔平

$23,768 交易量

<1%

杭特·格林

$1,202 交易量

<1%

Blake Snell

$1,147 交易量

<1%

Logan Webb

$1,124 交易量

<1%

Zack Wheeler

$8,035 交易量

<1%

斯賓塞·史賓瑟

$751 交易量

<1%

斯賓塞·施韋倫巴赫

$619 交易量

<1%

布蘭登·伍德拉夫

$108,229 交易量

<1%

Jesus Luzardo

$2,473 交易量

<1%

諾蘭·麥克連

$587,087 交易量

<1%

泰勒·葛拉斯諾

$1,906 交易量

<1%

麥可·金

$2,070 交易量

<1%

尼克·皮維塔

$1,322 交易量

<1%

尼克·洛多洛

$799 交易量

<1%

Eury Perez

$96,463 交易量

<1%

米奇·凱勒

$658 交易量

<1%

梅森·米勒

$3,340 交易量

<1%

Chase Burns

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Misiorowski of the Milwaukee Brewers holds overwhelming trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young due to his elite regular-season dominance. The right-hander leads qualified starters in strikeouts (247), WHIP (0.80), and pitching WAR while posting a 1.86 ERA over 169.1 innings in 29 starts, backed by elite velocity and a 13.1 K/9 rate. As the ace of the NL Central champions (98-58 record), his consistent quality starts and advanced metrics such as a sub-2.20 FIP have separated him from the field since midseason. Challengers including Cristopher Sánchez, Chris Sale, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto trail significantly in rate stats and narrative momentum. Late injuries, a sharp decline in his final outings, or unusually strong finishes from multiple contenders remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,104,594
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Misiorowski of the Milwaukee Brewers holds overwhelming trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young due to his elite regular-season dominance. The right-hander leads qualified starters in strikeouts (247), WHIP (0.80), and pitching WAR while posting a 1.86 ERA over 169.1 innings in 29 starts, backed by elite velocity and a 13.1 K/9 rate. As the ace of the NL Central champions (98-58 record), his consistent quality starts and advanced metrics such as a sub-2.20 FIP have separated him from the field since midseason. Challengers including Cristopher Sánchez, Chris Sale, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto trail significantly in rate stats and narrative momentum. Late injuries, a sharp decline in his final outings, or unusually strong finishes from multiple contenders remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,104,594
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基" at 98%, followed by "山本由伸" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍" is "雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "山本由伸" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.