Shohei Ohtani holds the top position in the 2026 NL Hank Aaron race at 17.5% implied probability due to his established power and production profile with the Dodgers, even as early-season home run totals remain modest. Kyle Schwarber has surged to the NL lead with 17-plus homers for the Phillies, boosting his market share through consistent extra-base power and RBI output. Juan Soto and Bryce Harper trail on the strength of their disciplined approaches and prior award-caliber seasons with the Mets and Phillies, respectively, while Ronald Acuña Jr. draws support from speed-power combinations despite limited recent volume. The wide-open field reflects a crowded group of contenders where recent form, plate discipline, and barrel rates continue to shape trader consensus amid the early campaign.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於美國職棒大聯盟: 2026年NL Hank Aaron冠軍
大谷翔平 18%
胡安·索托 5.7%
凱爾·施瓦伯 5.2%
布萊斯·哈波 4.4%
$119,159 交易量
$119,159 交易量
大谷翔平
18%
胡安·索托
6%
凱爾·施瓦伯
5%
布萊斯·哈波
4%
羅納德·阿庫尼亞 Jr.
3%
弗朗西斯科·林多
3%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Ketel Marte
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
穆奇·貝茲
<1%
大谷翔平 18%
胡安·索托 5.7%
凱爾·施瓦伯 5.2%
布萊斯·哈波 4.4%
$119,159 交易量
$119,159 交易量
大谷翔平
18%
胡安·索托
6%
凱爾·施瓦伯
5%
布萊斯·哈波
4%
羅納德·阿庫尼亞 Jr.
3%
弗朗西斯科·林多
3%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Ketel Marte
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
穆奇·貝茲
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Shohei Ohtani holds the top position in the 2026 NL Hank Aaron race at 17.5% implied probability due to his established power and production profile with the Dodgers, even as early-season home run totals remain modest. Kyle Schwarber has surged to the NL lead with 17-plus homers for the Phillies, boosting his market share through consistent extra-base power and RBI output. Juan Soto and Bryce Harper trail on the strength of their disciplined approaches and prior award-caliber seasons with the Mets and Phillies, respectively, while Ronald Acuña Jr. draws support from speed-power combinations despite limited recent volume. The wide-open field reflects a crowded group of contenders where recent form, plate discipline, and barrel rates continue to shape trader consensus amid the early campaign.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions