The tight 2026 NL MVP market reflects a genuine two-horse race between Shohei Ohtani and Pete Crow-Armstrong, with both players posting elite all-around value that has kept implied probabilities nearly even. Crow-Armstrong has surged into the lead or tie through a strong second-half stretch, topping NL WAR leaderboards with elite center-field defense, 30 stolen bases, and a .284/.384/.544 slash line that includes 27 home runs. Ohtani counters with his signature two-way impact as a dominant hitter and occasional starter on the mound, maintaining consistent production despite the Dodgers' schedule. A head-to-head series in early August, where both players homered twice, underscored the personal competition and helped shift trader sentiment. With substantial games remaining, small edges in recent form, defensive metrics, or team success could quickly alter the current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於大谷翔平 49%
皮特·克勞-阿姆斯壯 48.1%
馬特·奧爾森 1.7%
Elly De La Cruz <1%
$1,258,197 交易量
$1,258,197 交易量
大谷翔平
49%
皮特·克勞-阿姆斯壯
48%
馬特·奧爾森
2%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
凱爾·施瓦伯
<1%
胡安·索托
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
穆奇·貝茲
<1%
布萊斯·哈波
<1%
凱爾·塔克
<1%
法蘭西斯科·林多爾
<1%
羅納德·阿庫尼亞二世
<1%
Andy Pages
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
詹姆斯·伍德
<1%
雅各布·米西奧羅斯基
<1%
喬丹·沃克
<1%
奧托·洛佩茲
<1%
大谷翔平 49%
皮特·克勞-阿姆斯壯 48.1%
馬特·奧爾森 1.7%
Elly De La Cruz <1%
$1,258,197 交易量
$1,258,197 交易量
大谷翔平
49%
皮特·克勞-阿姆斯壯
48%
馬特·奧爾森
2%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
凱爾·施瓦伯
<1%
胡安·索托
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
穆奇·貝茲
<1%
布萊斯·哈波
<1%
凱爾·塔克
<1%
法蘭西斯科·林多爾
<1%
羅納德·阿庫尼亞二世
<1%
Andy Pages
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
詹姆斯·伍德
<1%
雅各布·米西奧羅斯基
<1%
喬丹·沃克
<1%
奧托·洛佩茲
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight 2026 NL MVP market reflects a genuine two-horse race between Shohei Ohtani and Pete Crow-Armstrong, with both players posting elite all-around value that has kept implied probabilities nearly even. Crow-Armstrong has surged into the lead or tie through a strong second-half stretch, topping NL WAR leaderboards with elite center-field defense, 30 stolen bases, and a .284/.384/.544 slash line that includes 27 home runs. Ohtani counters with his signature two-way impact as a dominant hitter and occasional starter on the mound, maintaining consistent production despite the Dodgers' schedule. A head-to-head series in early August, where both players homered twice, underscored the personal competition and helped shift trader sentiment. With substantial games remaining, small edges in recent form, defensive metrics, or team success could quickly alter the current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions