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運動·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
運動·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 20%

Munetaka Murakami 18%

Matt Olson 5.6%

Polymarket
最新

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 20%

Munetaka Murakami 18%

Matt Olson 5.6%

Polymarket
最新

Aaron Judge

$141 交易量

37%

Kyle Schwarber

$386 交易量

20%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,361 交易量

18%

Matt Olson

$661 交易量

6%

Yordan Alvarez

$5 交易量

5%

James Wood

$5 交易量

4%

Shohei Ohtani

$177 交易量

2%

Brandon Lowe

$5 交易量

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$161 交易量

2%

Ben Rice

$5 交易量

2%

Jordan Walker

$5 交易量

2%

CJ Abrams

$5 交易量

1%

Manny Machado

$5 交易量

1%

Shea Langeliers

$201 交易量

1%

Cal Raleigh

$5 交易量

1%

Junior Caminero

$5 交易量

1%

Nick Kurtz

$32 交易量

1%

Sal Stewart

$5 交易量

1%

George Springer

$27 交易量

1%

Mike Trout

$5 交易量

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$5 交易量

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$5 交易量

1%

Juan Soto

$5 交易量

1%

Rafael Devers

$5 交易量

1%

Pete Alonso

$5 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability for MLB home run leader, tied with Kyle Schwarber at 16 homers apiece through early May, fueled by Judge's scorching start including his league-tying 16th blast on May 10 versus Milwaukee and Yankee Stadium's short right-field porch aiding his prodigious power. White Sox rookie Munetaka Murakami trails closely at 15 homers (21% market share), propelled by a historic streak of five straight games with a homer ending May 8 and his NPB pedigree translating seamlessly. Schwarber's consistent leadoff thump (15%) and Matt Olson's steady Braves production (8%) round out the top tier, while Yordan Alvarez lags at 13 despite elite exit velocity, as early-season paces and health sustain the crowded chase amid no major injuries.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,215
結束日期
2026-09-28
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability for MLB home run leader, tied with Kyle Schwarber at 16 homers apiece through early May, fueled by Judge's scorching start including his league-tying 16th blast on May 10 versus Milwaukee and Yankee Stadium's short right-field porch aiding his prodigious power. White Sox rookie Munetaka Murakami trails closely at 15 homers (21% market share), propelled by a historic streak of five straight games with a homer ending May 8 and his NPB pedigree translating seamlessly. Schwarber's consistent leadoff thump (15%) and Matt Olson's steady Braves production (8%) round out the top tier, while Yordan Alvarez lags at 13 despite elite exit velocity, as early-season paces and health sustain the crowded chase amid no major injuries.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,215
結束日期
2026-09-28
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 37%, followed by "Kyle Schwarber" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: Home Runs Leader," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" is "Aaron Judge" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.