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MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 40%

Yordan Alvarez 21.0%

Junior Caminero 18.6%

Matt Olson 17.8%

Polymarket

$3,129,824 交易量

Kyle Schwarber 40%

Yordan Alvarez 21.0%

Junior Caminero 18.6%

Matt Olson 17.8%

Polymarket

$3,129,824 交易量

Kyle Schwarber

$21,647 交易量

40%

Yordan Alvarez

$9,417 交易量

26%

Junior Caminero

$1,821 交易量

19%

Matt Olson

$2,008 交易量

18%

Ben Rice

$1,334 交易量

8%

Munetaka Murakami

$7,791 交易量

2%

James Wood

$2,519 交易量

1%

George Springer

$508 交易量

1%

Rafael Devers

$605 交易量

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$576 交易量

1%

Aaron Judge

$4,680 交易量

1%

Nick Kurtz

$1,482 交易量

1%

CJ Abrams

$203,625 交易量

<1%

Juan Soto

$647,885 交易量

<1%

Mike Trout

$1,747,961 交易量

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$851 交易量

<1%

Shohei Ohtani

$639 交易量

<1%

Eugenio Suarez

$585 交易量

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$678 交易量

<1%

Sal Stewart

$615 交易量

<1%

Jordan Walker

$571 交易量

<1%

Brandon Lowe

$469,755 交易量

<1%

Pete Alonso

$384 交易量

<1%

Shea Langeliers

$1,341 交易量

<1%

Manny Machado

$547 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's position atop the MLB home run leaderboard with 37 long balls, driven by consistent power output and plate appearances for the Phillies, underpins the highest implied probability among traders. Yordan Alvarez, Matt Olson, and Junior Caminero trail closely with 35 home runs each, supported by strong recent form, favorable matchups, and high slugging rates that sustain their market positioning. Ben Rice and James Wood follow at 32 and 30 homers, respectively, with remaining schedule strength and health factors keeping their shares relevant. The tight race with roughly six weeks left emphasizes how small surges in production or injury setbacks could shift consensus before the regular season concludes.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,129,824
結束日期
2026-09-28
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's position atop the MLB home run leaderboard with 37 long balls, driven by consistent power output and plate appearances for the Phillies, underpins the highest implied probability among traders. Yordan Alvarez, Matt Olson, and Junior Caminero trail closely with 35 home runs each, supported by strong recent form, favorable matchups, and high slugging rates that sustain their market positioning. Ben Rice and James Wood follow at 32 and 30 homers, respectively, with remaining schedule strength and health factors keeping their shares relevant. The tight race with roughly six weeks left emphasizes how small surges in production or injury setbacks could shift consensus before the regular season concludes.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,129,824
結束日期
2026-09-28
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 40%, followed by "Yordan Alvarez" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Home Runs Leader" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Home Runs Leader," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" is "Kyle Schwarber" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yordan Alvarez" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.