Kawhi Leonard's market positioning stems primarily from the June 30, 2026, trade agreement sending him from the Clippers to the Toronto Raptors for Brandon Ingram, Gradey Dick, and multiple first- and second-round picks. That deal remains on hold pending the NBA's salary-cap circumvention investigation tied to Leonard's prior Aspiration sponsorship, which has created the dominant 83.5% implied probability for Toronto. Recent leaks about additional sponsor details have slightly tightened other outcomes without shifting the core consensus. Leonard's 2019 championship history with the Raptors, combined with the Clippers' roster reset, reinforces trader expectations that the transaction will eventually close, leaving minimal probability for remaining with Los Angeles or moving elsewhere once the probe resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Toronto Raptors 83.5%
Los Angeles Clippers 11.8%
Denver Nuggets 1.9%
Detroit Pistons 1.8%
$297,950 交易量
$297,950 交易量
Toronto Raptors
83%
Los Angeles Clippers
12%
Denver Nuggets
2%
Detroit Pistons
2%
Golden State Warriors
1%
San Antonio Spurs
6%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Toronto Raptors 83.5%
Los Angeles Clippers 11.8%
Denver Nuggets 1.9%
Detroit Pistons 1.8%
$297,950 交易量
$297,950 交易量
Toronto Raptors
83%
Los Angeles Clippers
12%
Denver Nuggets
2%
Detroit Pistons
2%
Golden State Warriors
1%
San Antonio Spurs
6%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
If Kawhi Leonard does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Clippers”.
If Kawhi Leonard joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kawhi Leonard retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Clippers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Kawhi Leonard does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Clippers”.
If Kawhi Leonard joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kawhi Leonard retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Clippers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kawhi Leonard's market positioning stems primarily from the June 30, 2026, trade agreement sending him from the Clippers to the Toronto Raptors for Brandon Ingram, Gradey Dick, and multiple first- and second-round picks. That deal remains on hold pending the NBA's salary-cap circumvention investigation tied to Leonard's prior Aspiration sponsorship, which has created the dominant 83.5% implied probability for Toronto. Recent leaks about additional sponsor details have slightly tightened other outcomes without shifting the core consensus. Leonard's 2019 championship history with the Raptors, combined with the Clippers' roster reset, reinforces trader expectations that the transaction will eventually close, leaving minimal probability for remaining with Los Angeles or moving elsewhere once the probe resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions