LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency after the Lakers' 2025-26 playoff sweep, positioning the Los Angeles Lakers at a 59% implied probability as traders weigh his long-term ties to the franchise, recent late-season form alongside Luka Doncic, and family considerations in Southern California. The Philadelphia 76ers and Portland Trail Blazers sit near 47% each, reflecting perceived roster-building needs and potential veteran fits amid their respective Eastern and Western Conference standings. Cleveland at 26.5% captures the homecoming narrative tied to James' early career success, while probabilities below 20% for teams like the Warriors, Heat, and Bucks highlight limited realistic pathways given age, salary-cap constraints, and competitive timelines across the league.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Los Angeles Lakers 59%
Cleveland Cavaliers 38%
Miami Heat 13.5%
Golden State Warriors 7.3%
$10,629 交易量
$10,629 交易量
Los Angeles Lakers
59%
Cleveland Cavaliers
32%
Miami Heat
14%
Golden State Warriors
16%
Indiana Pacers
6%
Utah Jazz
5%
Toronto Raptors
3%
Los Angeles Clippers
3%
Orlando Magic
3%
Dallas Mavericks
3%
Boston Celtics
2%
Denver Nuggets
2%
New York Knicks
9%
Charlotte Hornets
1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
26%
Portland Trail Blazers
-
Los Angeles Lakers 59%
Cleveland Cavaliers 38%
Miami Heat 13.5%
Golden State Warriors 7.3%
$10,629 交易量
$10,629 交易量
Los Angeles Lakers
59%
Cleveland Cavaliers
32%
Miami Heat
14%
Golden State Warriors
16%
Indiana Pacers
6%
Utah Jazz
5%
Toronto Raptors
3%
Los Angeles Clippers
3%
Orlando Magic
3%
Dallas Mavericks
3%
Boston Celtics
2%
Denver Nuggets
2%
New York Knicks
9%
Charlotte Hornets
1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
26%
Portland Trail Blazers
-
If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency after the Lakers' 2025-26 playoff sweep, positioning the Los Angeles Lakers at a 59% implied probability as traders weigh his long-term ties to the franchise, recent late-season form alongside Luka Doncic, and family considerations in Southern California. The Philadelphia 76ers and Portland Trail Blazers sit near 47% each, reflecting perceived roster-building needs and potential veteran fits amid their respective Eastern and Western Conference standings. Cleveland at 26.5% captures the homecoming narrative tied to James' early career success, while probabilities below 20% for teams like the Warriors, Heat, and Bucks highlight limited realistic pathways given age, salary-cap constraints, and competitive timelines across the league.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions