LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after informing the Lakers on June 30 that he would play his 24th NBA season elsewhere following eight years in Los Angeles. The league moratorium prevents official signings until July 6, creating a narrow window for negotiations that opened July 1 with at least a dozen teams reportedly expressing interest. Multiple suitors, combined with LeBron’s willingness to accept a veteran-minimum deal in some scenarios and his agent’s confirmation of active discussions, have left the exact timing of any agreement unresolved. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely split between a potential quick resolution around July 3 and a more extended process extending to July 7 or later, as teams weigh roster fits and LeBron evaluates options amid standard free-agency procedures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於July 3 100%
July 7 or after 50%
July 6 25%
July 4 23%
July 2
2%
July 3
100%
July 4
23%
July 5
21%
July 6
25%
July 7 or after
50%
July 3 100%
July 7 or after 50%
July 6 25%
July 4 23%
July 2
2%
July 3
100%
July 4
23%
July 5
21%
July 6
25%
July 7 or after
50%
If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 2, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after informing the Lakers on June 30 that he would play his 24th NBA season elsewhere following eight years in Los Angeles. The league moratorium prevents official signings until July 6, creating a narrow window for negotiations that opened July 1 with at least a dozen teams reportedly expressing interest. Multiple suitors, combined with LeBron’s willingness to accept a veteran-minimum deal in some scenarios and his agent’s confirmation of active discussions, have left the exact timing of any agreement unresolved. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely split between a potential quick resolution around July 3 and a more extended process extending to July 7 or later, as teams weigh roster fits and LeBron evaluates options amid standard free-agency procedures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions