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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
政治·法國選舉

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
政治·法國選舉

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

最新
2027-04-30
Polymarket

$2,952 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$209 交易量

12%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$226 交易量

80%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 交易量

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1 交易量

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$9 交易量

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 交易量

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$50 交易量

4%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 交易量

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 交易量

23%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 交易量

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 交易量

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 交易量

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$314 交易量

43%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 交易量

6%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$50 交易量

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$50 交易量

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 交易量

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 交易量

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 交易量

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$73 交易量

4%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 交易量

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 交易量

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 交易量

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 交易量

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 交易量

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 交易量

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 交易量

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$50 交易量

7%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$71 交易量

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 交易量

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 交易量

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 交易量

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 交易量

33%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 交易量

5%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 交易量

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 交易量

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 交易量

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).France's April 2027 presidential election features a crowded field of declared and potential candidates, with the first-round outcome determining runoff participants under the two-round system. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent polling averages for the opening round, while Marine Le Pen remains sidelined pending a July 2026 appeal of her embezzlement conviction and associated ineligibility ruling. Center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and left-wing contenders including Jean-Luc Mélenchon have announced or positioned bids, with some left-leaning groups pursuing unity primaries to consolidate support. The National Rally's consistent first-round strength in surveys shapes expectations for one far-right advance, though the fragmented opposition and any shifts following the appeal verdict could alter qualification dynamics.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$2,952
結束日期
2027-04-30
市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).France's April 2027 presidential election features a crowded field of declared and potential candidates, with the first-round outcome determining runoff participants under the two-round system. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent polling averages for the opening round, while Marine Le Pen remains sidelined pending a July 2026 appeal of her embezzlement conviction and associated ineligibility ruling. Center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and left-wing contenders including Jean-Luc Mélenchon have announced or positioned bids, with some left-leaning groups pursuing unity primaries to consolidate support. The National Rally's consistent first-round strength in surveys shapes expectations for one far-right advance, though the fragmented opposition and any shifts following the appeal verdict could alter qualification dynamics.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$2,952
結束日期
2027-04-30
市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 80%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" is "Jordan Bardella" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.